NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	5.9 [657]		MVP	Trey Lyles (UTA): +21.8%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.9 [297]		LVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	20	55%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	23	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	12	21%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.13	-0.02	8	75%	0.22	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	16	74%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.02	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	51%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.8	30.0	15.6	25.7	2.8	39.2	137.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +58.1%

UTA +5.9%

CLE -7.8%

CLE -8.9%

UTA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	18.0	17.2	14.9	104.9	113.3	105.1
season	15.8	16.3		110.3	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	17.4	16.8	19.9	18.0
UTA	14.7	17.8	16.7	20.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	64	66	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-15	21	17.0	21.4	-4.36	17.2	17.1	0.14
Matthew Dellavedova	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-11	13	16.7	19.1	-2.40	17.6	16.7	0.93
Channing Frye	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-9	9	17.5	18.2	-0.71	18.5	16.4	2.15
Iman Shumpert	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	18.3	17.7	0.58	17.3	17.1	0.18
Richard Jefferson	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-2	-5	20.3	17.5	2.81	14.4	17.8	-3.38
Timofey Mozgov	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-3	-3	17.1	18.5	-1.42	15.6	18.1	-2.51
Kevin Love	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	18.1	17.7	0.37	16.6	18.6	-1.99
J.R. Smith	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	0	-9	17.7	18.3	-0.58	17.1	17.3	-0.18
Tristan Thompson	31	33	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	1	-11	19.7	16.9	2.83	18.5	16.3	2.13
Kyrie Irving	55	57	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.28	-17	8	-25	19.0	15.8	3.12	17.5	16.5	0.97

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	63	62	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-9	27	17.4	16.4	0.95	18.5	16.1	2.50
Rudy Gobert	55	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-9	27	16.6	18.3	-1.74	18.7	16.5	2.17
Trey Lyles	19	19	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-3	15	18.9	16.6	2.31	22.4	16.6	5.82
Joe Ingles	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	3	3	17.2	17.1	0.06	17.7	19.1	-1.39
Rodney Hood	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-2	13	16.7	18.3	-1.59	17.8	18.5	-0.72
Raul Neto	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	10	-11	17.5	17.0	0.50	18.6	17.6	0.93
Trey Burke	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	18.6	17.1	1.52	17.8	18.0	-0.17
Derrick Favors	58	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	12	-15	16.9	17.8	-0.90	16.8	20.7	-3.90
Chris Johnson	29	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	16	-23	17.0	17.2	-0.21	17.1	18.4	-1.25
Trevor Booker	34	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	18	-27	17.6	16.9	0.71	16.2	19.1	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
SAC 101, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.5%
HOU 84, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%