NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	81		Excitement	2.2 [1283]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +14.4%
Houston Rockets	130		Comeback	1.0 [1198]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -9.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Jarell Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.02	0.05	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
PJ Hairston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Stepheson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	17	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.03
Briante Weber	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.19	0.00	-0.13	8	17%	-0.02	5	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	10	23%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	10	25%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.19	0.00	-0.09	17	26%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	9	89%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	4	150%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.05	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	14	55%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	79%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.01	5	-0.05	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	34.2	15.6	26.3	0.7	28.3	136.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.3%

HOU +0.9%

MEM -0.1%

HOU +11.5%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	12.2	14.9	80.2	126.2	105.1
season	15.7	14.0		103.4	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	14.3	16.6	18.2	16.1
HOU	12.3	11.9	12.8	11.8	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray McCallum	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.36	-16	-33	17	16.9	14.8	2.12	11.1	13.7	-2.54
PJ Hairston	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-38	27	17.4	15.3	2.09	11.3	12.7	-1.45
Alex Stepheson	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	-34	19	17.1	14.9	2.20	11.3	13.2	-1.87
Jarell Martin	63	63	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.30	-18	-31	13	16.8	14.8	2.05	11.1	13.9	-2.77
JaMychal Green	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.83	-38	-11	-27	16.4	15.6	0.85	13.4	10.7	2.69
Ryan Hollins	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.70	-35	-14	-21	14.8	17.6	-2.79	12.9	11.3	1.59
Matt Barnes	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.56	-32	-17	-15	14.8	17.6	-2.75	12.6	11.8	0.81
Briante Weber	70	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.87	-43	-6	-37	16.0	16.2	-0.13	12.8	10.7	2.17
Tony Allen	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.61	-37	-12	-25	14.6	18.0	-3.38	12.9	11.3	1.55

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	56	54	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.58	36	13	23	13.2	11.0	2.25	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Donatas Motiejunas	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.64	37	12	25	13.4	11.2	2.20	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Trevor Ariza	45	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.51	30	19	11	13.3	11.3	1.97	14.7	17.1	-2.34
James Harden	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.52	30	19	11	12.8	11.5	1.31	14.7	17.8	-3.16
Dwight Howard	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.61	31	18	13	12.6	11.8	0.84	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Clint Capela	52	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.33	18	31	-13	11.8	12.6	-0.84	16.3	15.9	0.38
Jason Terry	37	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	38	-27	10.4	13.2	-2.85	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Corey Brewer	35	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.19	11	38	-27	10.7	13.0	-2.30	16.3	16.0	0.35
Michael Beasley	57	56	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.30	12	37	-25	11.4	13.2	-1.71	16.8	15.1	1.69
Andrew Goudelock	33	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.38	13	36	-23	11.8	12.4	-0.66	18.3	15.0	3.36
Montrezl Harrell	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	41	-33	11.8	12.3	-0.48	18.2	15.4	2.75
KJ McDaniels	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	41	-33	11.8	12.3	-0.48	18.2	15.4	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 59, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DAL 70, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
BKN 77, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%