NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	6.4 [556]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +11.9%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	3.7 [249]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -20.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.05	0.03	12	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	18	60%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	11	32%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	16	48%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	18	49%	0.03	4	-0.15	9	89%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	6	-0.15	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	7	27%	-0.08	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.03	0.00	13	19%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.4	15.6	22.4	2.4	36.6	130.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.9%

UTA -6.0%

UTA -20.7%

ATL +19.3%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	16.1	14.9	93.8	86.6	105.1
season	14.2	16.3		104.1	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.3	11.4	14.8	15.0	13.6
UTA	15.5	18.6	15.2	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-8	23	12.9	14.7	-1.74	16.7	15.2	1.48
Paul Millsap	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	12.6	16.1	-3.48	17.0	13.8	3.29
Jeff Teague	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	0	7	12.4	16.2	-3.77	16.8	14.5	2.27
Al Horford	72	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	13.8	13.2	0.58	15.4	18.2	-2.85
Kris Humphries	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-1	9	13.9	13.5	0.49	16.5	15.8	0.74
Kyle Korver	51	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	-7	21	13.4	13.9	-0.46	17.1	14.7	2.37
Dennis Schroder	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	7	-7	16.2	12.4	3.77	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Tim Hardaway Jr.	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	14.4	13.2	1.25	15.3	16.5	-1.18
Thabo Sefolosha	50	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.50	-16	23	-39	14.1	13.1	0.97	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Mike Scott	18	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	12	-17	16.3	13.0	3.25	14.2	16.5	-2.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-13	19	13.9	17.7	-3.85	14.0	13.4	0.61
Joe Ingles	47	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-15	23	15.0	17.0	-2.02	13.7	13.6	0.15
Derrick Favors	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-11	15	16.1	16.0	0.02	13.1	15.3	-2.21
Chris Johnson	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	4	-15	17.7	15.9	1.83	12.1	13.8	-1.67
Trey Lyles	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	0	-7	19.7	15.5	4.21	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Raul Neto	27	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	14.7	16.6	-1.88	14.3	13.4	0.92
Shelvin Mack	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-4	1	17.4	14.4	2.98	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Rodney Hood	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	15.5	18.2	-2.67	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Gordon Hayward	77	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	0	-7	16.4	14.8	1.59	13.8	13.0	0.75
Rudy Gobert	65	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.09	-19	12	-31	17.0	14.2	2.80	14.1	12.7	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%
PHX 117, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MIL 90, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%