NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.8 [287]		MVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): +12.7%
Miami Heat	103		Comeback	3.0 [809]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (MIA): -7.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.04	-0.03	13	57%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	6	44%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ish Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03	0.10	0.01	0.08	12	70%	0.13	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Canaan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.00	15	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
TJ McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	39%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	15	72%	0.26	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	15	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	14	93%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.3	14.5	31.4	1.8	34.2	139.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +13.1%

MIA +2.0%

MIA +35.5%

PHI -2.2%

MIA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	14.9	107.7	110.8	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		97.7	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.2		103.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	16.4	15.0	15.9	15.8
MIA	14.2	14.2	17.8	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ McConnell	27	26	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.03	15	-20	35	15.0	16.1	-1.13	14.2	16.1	-1.88
Richaun Holmes	30	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-12	19	15.3	16.0	-0.63	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Hollis Thompson	72	73	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.09	10	-15	25	15.7	15.9	-0.24	15.1	17.3	-2.30
Elton Brand	12	13	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	14.7	15.9	-1.26	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Isaiah Canaan	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-12	19	15.7	15.9	-0.25	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Jerami Grant	72	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	4	-13	15.2	17.9	-2.70	15.7	15.1	0.56
Ish Smith	70	74	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.40	-15	10	-25	15.7	15.8	-0.07	16.0	13.9	2.08
Carl Landry	46	47	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.26	-21	16	-37	16.8	14.6	2.20	17.2	13.9	3.28
Robert Covington	64	66	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.30	-23	18	-41	16.5	14.0	2.50	15.3	16.1	-0.74

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	60	59	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.31	22	-17	39	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Joe Johnson	60	58	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-12	29	15.7	15.3	0.43	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Luol Deng	71	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	5	-5	15.6	15.5	0.06	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Goran Dragic	75	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	8	-11	15.7	14.8	0.96	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-6	17	16.6	15.0	1.60	16.4	15.4	0.95
Hassan Whiteside	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.8	15.6	0.22
Josh Richardson	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	10	-15	14.8	16.2	-1.45	16.7	14.9	1.87
Gerald Green	9	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	12	-19	16.2	15.5	0.75	13.9	15.9	-2.06
Justise Winslow	58	59	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	14	-23	14.7	16.9	-2.24	15.8	15.7	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.85,0.86,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.2%
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.0%
DAL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.67,0.92,1	91.5%