NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	5.7 [684]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +30.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	2.3 [645]		LVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): -10.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.20	0.08	-0.02	15	74%	0.35	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.00	9	90%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.01	-0.04	18	37%	-0.02	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	18	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	59%	0.11	6	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	30.8	15.5	24.9	1.8	32.2	133.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +60.1%

MIN -14.5%

WAS +0.5%

WAS +6.8%

MIN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.9	104.0	98.0	105.1
season	13.8	14.8		104.1	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.1	12.8	12.5	18.3	14.0
MIN	14.6	14.8	15.2	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	40	41	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.04	22	-16	38	13.3	14.5	-1.16	16.8	13.4	3.35
Nene	48	47	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-6	18	14.9	13.2	1.72	14.8	14.8	0.05
Jared Dudley	43	44	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-6	18	14.1	14.0	0.13	16.5	13.4	3.11
Ramon Sessions	22	22	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-5	16	12.9	14.3	-1.42	16.3	14.3	1.97
Bradley Beal	59	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	2	2	14.3	13.6	0.70	14.5	15.2	-0.70
John Wall	79	80	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	6	-6	14.2	13.2	0.99	14.3	16.7	-2.46
Markieff Morris	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	12	-18	14.4	13.6	0.84	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Garrett Temple	60	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	16	-26	15.1	12.3	2.78	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Marcin Gortat	58	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	12	-18	12.9	15.6	-2.76	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Otto Porter	40	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	15	-24	12.8	14.8	-1.99	14.8	14.7	0.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	65	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-8	10	15.2	13.9	1.33	13.3	15.2	-1.94
Ricky Rubio	78	78	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-16	26	14.7	15.0	-0.22	14.4	12.6	1.77
Andrew Wiggins	75	76	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-15	24	14.6	15.3	-0.72	14.3	13.2	1.07
Tayshaun Prince	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	15.3	14.7	0.55	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Karl-Anthony Towns	81	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-10	14	14.8	14.9	-0.14	14.8	10.7	4.12
Zach LaVine	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.4	16.2	-1.77	14.5	12.0	2.49
Greg Smith	20	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	6	-18	15.5	14.6	0.90	11.3	14.7	-3.40
Adreian Payne	19	19	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	5	-16	14.9	14.8	0.14	12.2	14.4	-2.23
Tyus Jones	22	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	10	-26	15.0	14.7	0.22	12.6	14.4	-1.77
Shabazz Muhammad	48	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	6	-18	14.6	15.0	-0.38	14.7	13.4	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, UTA 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MIL 104, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
IND 109, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%