inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 104 Excitement2.2 [1284] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +13.8%
Houston Rockets 94 Comeback1.0 [1142] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -7.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.160.010.041377%0.152-0.02989%0.02
Kyle Anderson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.00-0.05858%0.082-0.01367%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.000.051957%0.041-0.028100%0.01
David West0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01175%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Ray McCallum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.041062%0.032-0.04475%0.00
Danny Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01844%0.011-0.0220%-0.01
Patty Mills-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03743%0.012-0.0300%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.09775%0.0200.00683%0.00
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Montrezl Harrell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.000.02750%-0.021-0.002100%-0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04425%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.050.000.101075%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.001137%-0.0500.00837%-0.01
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.130.00-0.06812%-0.062-0.0200%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.040.000.032550%-0.015-0.074100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.828.115.325.11.738.5136.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.6%
SAS +3.5%
HOU -0.9%
SAS +1.6%
SAS +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game16.713.314.9108.397.9105.1
season15.714.0109.0105.9
opponent15.114.7106.997.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.416.416.516.716.7
HOU16.114.912.810.013.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge64660.400.100.30-0.2723-133616.118.0-1.9114.710.14.61
Kawhi Leonard77800.380.120.26-0.0916-62216.517.8-1.3213.213.6-0.42
Danny Green61610.350.150.20-0.3825-154016.716.9-0.2013.912.11.82
David West33310.310.190.120.2237-415.917.1-1.2013.013.4-0.40
Kyle Anderson45450.310.190.120.37-212-1417.316.21.1013.513.00.49
Tony Parker66670.280.220.050.0773416.816.60.2413.313.10.19
Patty Mills43400.200.30-0.110.46-919-2816.916.60.3212.314.0-1.71
Tim Duncan47490.180.32-0.14-0.3518-82617.516.01.5714.012.61.41
Boris Diaw21200.110.39-0.290.11010-1017.016.70.3512.213.5-1.29
Rasual Butler11100.000.50-0.490.27-919-2815.516.9-1.3410.613.6-2.98
Ray McCallum440.000.50-0.500.21-717-2418.016.71.333.713.7-9.93
Boban Marjanovic440.000.50-0.500.21-717-2418.016.71.333.713.7-9.93
Jonathon Simmons43-0.010.51-0.510.23-818-2619.716.63.1510.713.4-2.69

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Montrezl Harrell440.00-0.500.50-0.217-17243.713.7-9.9318.016.71.33
KJ McDaniels440.00-0.500.50-0.217-17243.713.7-9.9318.016.71.33
Ty Lawson810-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-5016.413.03.3918.416.51.87
Terrence Jones75-0.14-0.360.210.12-9-1-813.313.30.0213.816.9-3.09
Patrick Beverley5150-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-2-612.614.0-1.3717.416.01.48
Josh Smith5957-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-3-413.413.00.4416.816.60.28
Donatas Motiejunas1819-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-3-412.313.5-1.2213.817.4-3.60
Corey Brewer4345-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.529-192812.014.3-2.3417.316.21.10
Jason Terry5758-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.424-141812.714.2-1.4916.417.2-0.84
Dwight Howard7070-0.33-0.17-0.170.11-155-2014.111.03.1117.215.51.63
Trevor Ariza7576-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-144-1814.78.06.6916.517.5-0.97
James Harden8482-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-122-1413.412.21.2616.518.3-1.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 101, MIL 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
POR 114, NOP 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
DET 108, CHI 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%