NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	7.5 [353]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +82.5%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	22.1 [42]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -14.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.27,0.27	0.07	0.20	-0.00	15	50%	0.27	0	0.00	10	80%	0.07
J.R. Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	81%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	18	56%	0.07	6	-0.12	9	56%	-0.07
Kyrie Irving	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.83	0.83	0.30	0.56	0.04	20	78%	0.87	2	-0.05	15	73%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	5	79%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Bennett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	18%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	11	23%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	26.3	15.5	36.5	1.7	39.0	146.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.2%

TOR +7.6%

TOR +6.3%

TOR +3.0%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	14.9	112.8	115.1	105.1
season	15.8	16.1		110.3	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	18.0	16.2	18.6	16.9
TOR	15.5	17.1	15.1	19.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	18	21	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-3	4	18.4	16.5	1.90	19.4	15.7	3.74
Kevin Love	65	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-5	8	16.8	17.0	-0.22	15.7	19.4	-3.74
Tristan Thompson	54	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-9	16	15.6	19.0	-3.32	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Kyrie Irving	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	17.0	16.7	0.23	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Timofey Mozgov	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	6	-14	18.6	16.4	2.18	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Richard Jefferson	13	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.12	-12	10	-22	20.1	16.3	3.76	16.1	16.7	-0.61
LeBron James	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.57	10	-12	22	16.3	20.1	-3.76	16.7	16.1	0.61
J.R. Smith	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-6	10	16.1	18.7	-2.54	16.3	17.3	-1.06
Iman Shumpert	37	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	10	-22	18.5	15.7	2.81	17.5	16.0	1.49
Matthew Dellavedova	36	37	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.73	-1	-1	0	16.7	17.0	-0.28	18.1	15.5	2.54

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	65	64	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-14	30	16.9	15.8	1.12	17.5	15.2	2.23
DeMar DeRozan	59	60	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-4	10	15.6	18.8	-3.17	16.6	17.5	-0.83
Jonas Valanciunas	52	51	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.62	4	-2	6	16.7	16.5	0.22	16.5	17.4	-0.87
Kyle Lowry	77	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-9	20	16.9	14.0	2.91	17.1	15.5	1.57
Terrence Ross	48	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	17.1	16.0	1.04	16.6	17.2	-0.64
Cory Joseph	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.15	7	-5	12	17.7	15.7	1.94	18.4	15.5	2.93
Anthony Bennett	4	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	12.2	16.8	-4.57	15.2	17.0	-1.71
Bismack Biyombo	34	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.18	-2	4	-6	16.5	16.7	-0.22	17.4	16.5	0.87
James Johnson	31	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.01	-12	14	-26	16.3	16.8	-0.54	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Luis Scola	21	22	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	16	-30	15.8	16.9	-1.12	15.2	17.5	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.45,0.68,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.08,1	90.0%
PHI 101, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.27,1	89.7%
IND 88, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.46,0.69,0.74,1	89.4%