NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	4.1 [1020]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (CLE): +15.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Comeback	1.4 [516]		LVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): -13.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.02	0.04	5	107%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	18	60%	0.10	0	0.00	12	92%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	70%	0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	22	56%	0.10	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	15	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	21	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	82%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	8	22%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.3	30.7	16.3	36.4	2.7	28.1	141.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.0%

CLE +13.0%

CLE +6.5%

OKC -2.0%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	14.9	125.0	98.9	105.1
season	15.8	14.4		110.3	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	15.0	14.4	19.9	16.6
OKC	14.2	13.8	15.0	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	-1	25	16.4	17.5	-1.09	14.8	13.7	1.00
LeBron James	74	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	1	21	16.1	18.9	-2.83	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Tristan Thompson	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	4	15	16.3	17.6	-1.29	14.8	13.7	1.06
Matthew Dellavedova	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	13	-3	15.5	18.6	-3.07	14.8	14.1	0.74
Richard Jefferson	48	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	7	9	16.8	16.4	0.34	14.3	14.8	-0.53
J.R. Smith	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	9	5	17.1	14.6	2.56	14.8	13.5	1.32
Timofey Mozgov	33	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	19	-15	17.1	16.4	0.70	14.1	14.8	-0.72
James Jones	10	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	16	-9	18.4	16.4	2.01	12.6	14.8	-2.16
Sasha Kaun	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	21.7	16.4	5.37	10.6	14.8	-4.16
Kyrie Irving	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	26	-29	19.4	16.0	3.35	14.5	14.6	-0.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch McGary	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	10.6	14.8	-4.16	21.7	16.4	5.37
Kyle Singler	15	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-22	21	14.0	14.6	-0.64	19.4	16.2	3.23
Steven Adams	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-21	19	14.7	14.3	0.44	17.1	16.0	1.08
Anthony Morrow	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-21	19	16.5	13.9	2.59	18.3	16.0	2.33
Cameron Payne	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-20	17	15.6	14.2	1.35	14.3	17.2	-2.96
Nick Collison	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-17	11	14.9	14.4	0.47	19.1	15.5	3.64
Dion Waiters	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-9	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.09	16.6	16.6	0.01
Randy Foye	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-7	-9	13.7	14.9	-1.23	17.2	16.4	0.81
Serge Ibaka	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-6	-11	14.0	15.5	-1.52	15.7	18.5	-2.83
Russell Westbrook	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-7	-9	14.3	15.1	-0.82	16.7	16.5	0.18
Kevin Durant	66	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-6	-11	14.3	15.2	-0.91	15.8	18.7	-2.84
Enes Kanter	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.13	-19	-4	-15	15.4	14.0	1.43	15.0	17.7	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 113, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 111, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DEN 111, BKN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%