NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	2.9 [1215]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +17.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.2 [641]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -4.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.01	-0.06	23	56%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.05	20	59%	0.09	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Luke Babbitt	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.14	0.00	0.14	17	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryce Dejean-Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	27%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	52%	0.02	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	45%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	32.5	15.7	31.3	2.4	30.5	139.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +37.5%

MIN -8.2%

NOP +1.7%

NOP +16.7%

NOP +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.9	118.4	106.2	105.1
season	14.3	14.8		104.3	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.4	13.4	14.0	18.2	15.0
MIN	15.0	15.4	16.0	12.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	57	55	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.26	26	-12	38	13.3	17.3	-4.00	16.5	12.3	4.20
Ryan Anderson	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	0	14	14.4	16.2	-1.82	15.1	14.0	1.11
Luke Babbitt	31	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	15.1	14.9	0.20	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Anthony Davis	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	-1	16	14.8	15.3	-0.50	15.1	14.0	1.06
Dante Cunningham	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	7	0	14.9	15.1	-0.23	14.9	14.3	0.59
Alexis Ajinca	35	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	14	-14	15.3	14.8	0.50	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Norris Cole	66	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	6	2	14.5	16.0	-1.45	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Toney Douglas	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	17	-20	16.7	14.2	2.47	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Omer Asik	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	15	-16	16.2	14.4	1.82	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Bryce Dejean-Jones	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	20	-26	18.7	13.8	4.87	12.7	15.4	-2.67
Alonzo Gee	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	14	-14	14.4	15.2	-0.74	14.7	14.7	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-25	36	12.3	15.5	-3.15	18.2	13.9	4.26
Nemanja Bjelica	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-25	36	12.3	15.5	-3.15	18.2	13.9	4.26
Gorgui Dieng	59	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-17	20	15.2	13.9	1.22	15.2	14.6	0.55
Andre Miller	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-6	-2	18.0	14.3	3.73	9.1	15.7	-6.64
Tayshaun Prince	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	14.6	14.8	-0.17	16.6	14.0	2.53
Ricky Rubio	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-1	-12	14.9	14.4	0.45	15.3	14.6	0.64
Karl-Anthony Towns	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	0	-14	15.3	13.7	1.62	15.0	15.0	-0.06
Adreian Payne	22	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-15	16	12.1	15.5	-3.32	17.0	14.4	2.68
Zach LaVine	58	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-9	4	14.7	14.8	-0.11	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Damjan Rudez	20	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	6	-26	16.7	14.2	2.53	10.7	15.9	-5.23
Andrew Wiggins	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	3	-20	15.0	14.1	0.85	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Shabazz Muhammad	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.7	14.6	0.10	13.7	16.4	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
UTA 109, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHX 100, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%