NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	84		Excitement	5.9 [647]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +14.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.2 [1233]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -11.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omer Asik	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	20	55%	0.11	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Norris Cole	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	62%	0.13	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce Dejean-Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	18	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	21	63%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.04	0.05	20	63%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	18	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	26.1	15.5	21.2	2.5	31.6	123.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.0%

NOP -1.9%

CLE +10.7%

NOP -14.2%

CLE +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	14.3	17.7	14.9	94.4	108.8	105.1
season	14.3	15.8		104.3	110.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	14.5	14.0	13.7	14.3
CLE	17.7	16.8	18.8	17.5	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Dejean-Jones	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-15	15	15.6	13.4	2.12	17.9	17.5	0.35
Dante Cunningham	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-9	3	14.2	14.4	-0.23	18.6	16.0	2.58
Norris Cole	62	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-9	3	14.2	14.5	-0.27	18.9	14.7	4.17
Toney Douglas	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	14.5	14.2	0.27	14.7	18.9	-4.17
Omer Asik	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-8	1	14.9	13.4	1.47	16.9	18.9	-1.93
Alonzo Gee	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.4	14.2	0.23	16.0	18.6	-2.58
Anthony Davis	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	14.2	14.9	-0.79	18.8	13.3	5.48
Ryan Anderson	50	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-1	-13	13.9	14.8	-0.94	16.9	18.6	-1.70
Jrue Holiday	53	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	0	-15	13.4	15.6	-2.12	17.5	17.9	-0.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	72	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-4	23	18.3	15.4	2.84	14.4	13.9	0.51
J.R. Smith	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.00	20	-5	25	19.1	14.8	4.33	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Iman Shumpert	46	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	4	7	16.1	19.3	-3.25	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Timofey Mozgov	43	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	8	-1	17.0	18.3	-1.36	15.3	13.4	1.88
Anderson Varejao	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	18.1	17.1	1.02	13.3	15.6	-2.29
LeBron James	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	18.7	14.5	4.27	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Tristan Thompson	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	15	-15	18.1	16.7	1.49	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Richard Jefferson	19	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	10	-5	14.5	18.5	-3.97	15.0	14.1	0.90
Jared Cunningham	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.0	17.8	-5.80	20.0	14.2	5.84
Mo Williams	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	18	-21	15.1	19.0	-3.90	14.7	14.1	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
NOH 98, BKN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	94.1%