NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	4.0 [1038]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +23.7%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	1.1 [1125]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -6.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.03	15	82%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joe Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shayne Whittington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.05	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	18	42%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	77%	0.13	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	62%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sergey Karasev	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.03	3	-0.05	14	64%	-0.03
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.03	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	12	53%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	29.3	15.5	28.2	1.8	28.3	128.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.5%

IND +8.3%

BKN -8.0%

IND +6.6%

IND +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.9	116.3	103.1	105.1
season	14.6	15.0		103.2	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	13.7	13.2	17.0	14.4
BKN	16.0	17.6	12.5	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-4	22	15.3	13.8	1.54	15.3	15.0	0.31
CJ Miles	43	41	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	0	14	14.9	14.0	0.91	15.8	14.7	1.06
Glenn Robinson	26	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	1	12	16.4	13.7	2.70	15.9	14.9	1.04
Joe Young	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	7	0	14.8	14.2	0.64	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Lavoy Allen	54	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	8	-2	14.6	14.2	0.35	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Paul George	70	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	9	-4	13.6	16.4	-2.84	14.8	16.0	-1.13
George Hill	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	8	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.74	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Jordan Hill	37	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	9	-4	14.4	14.4	-0.03	15.2	15.1	0.14
Monta Ellis	63	64	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	16	-18	14.0	15.0	-0.98	15.4	14.7	0.63
Myles Turner	64	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	15	-16	13.7	15.7	-2.00	15.2	15.0	0.18
Shayne Whittington	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.3	14.3	3.03	11.3	15.3	-3.93

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	11.3	15.3	-3.93	17.3	14.3	3.03
Markel Brown	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-10	6	16.6	14.9	1.70	12.6	14.7	-2.06
Andrea Bargnani	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-7	0	16.2	14.8	1.47	15.3	14.1	1.13
Bojan Bogdanovic	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	14.2	15.9	-1.64	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Brook Lopez	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-13	12	15.0	15.8	-0.87	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Donald Sloan	67	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	14.7	16.2	-1.58	13.7	16.1	-2.37
Thomas Robinson	17	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-3	-8	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.6	14.3	0.32
Joe Johnson	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.16	-3	-11	8	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Shane Larkin	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-4	-6	16.2	14.7	1.58	16.1	13.7	2.37
Thaddeus Young	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.67	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Wayne Ellington	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	2	-18	15.9	13.6	2.31	15.4	12.4	2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, MIN 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%
PHX 92, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NOH 102, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%