NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	6.4 [543]		MVP	Ed Davis (POR): +14.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	2.4 [675]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -19.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.13	0.03	0.05	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Gorgui Dieng	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	18	52%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	0.02	0.06	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.05	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	18	31%	-0.14	3	-0.05	12	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.02	2	73%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	19	51%	0.15	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	14	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	11	59%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.3	26.5	15.7	25.0	1.8	36.8	135.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.7%

POR +11.1%

MIN -7.3%

POR +19.9%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	14.9	96.9	101.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		104.8	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	17.6	14.9	12.5	15.1
POR	15.7	13.0	17.2	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	72	70	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-14	25	14.7	16.4	-1.75	14.3	17.1	-2.75
Shabazz Muhammad	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-2	1	14.4	15.4	-0.95	15.9	14.7	1.15
Ricky Rubio	61	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-12	21	14.2	16.7	-2.53	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Nikola Pekovic	12	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	2	-7	19.7	14.5	5.21	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Gorgui Dieng	76	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-8	13	14.6	17.1	-2.58	15.7	12.3	3.42
Nemanja Bjelica	25	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	9	-21	16.2	14.7	1.48	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Tayshaun Prince	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	3	-9	16.2	13.3	2.94	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-8	13	14.6	17.3	-2.68	14.9	15.9	-1.08
Andre Miller	23	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	7	-17	16.2	14.8	1.46	16.4	14.6	1.83
Zach LaVine	49	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	8	-19	15.3	14.9	0.45	15.7	14.3	1.37

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	62	63	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-13	29	15.3	14.5	0.82	15.4	14.6	0.76
Gerald Henderson	47	47	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-16	35	15.8	14.3	1.54	16.5	13.8	2.71
Ed Davis	56	55	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-7	17	15.1	15.0	0.09	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.58	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Damian Lillard	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.9	0.27	14.3	16.9	-2.56
Allen Crabbe	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	-3	9	13.6	16.4	-2.88	15.5	14.7	0.84
CJ McCollum	68	67	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.40	-14	17	-31	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Mason Plumlee	39	41	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	10	-17	15.0	15.1	-0.09	15.4	14.9	0.54
Noah Vonleh	30	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	14	-25	15.9	14.7	1.19	15.2	15.0	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 70, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.2%
MIL 111, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%