NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	4.9 [844]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +14.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	1.7 [887]		LVP	Paul Pierce (LAC): -12.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.05	0.05	19	67%	0.12	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	15	40%	-0.12
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.22	0.03	0.10	12	92%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.03	18	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	64%	0.14	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	17	56%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	33.2	17.3	28.6	3.4	37.5	147.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.1%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +12.3%

LAC -2.6%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	16.3	14.9	106.2	118.6	105.1
season	14.8	15.8		106.6	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	14.0	14.5	10.6	13.5
CLE	16.0	14.8	17.4	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	8.2	13.9	-5.70	16.9	16.3	0.58
Lance Stephenson	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-18	23	10.7	14.2	-3.43	16.5	16.3	0.22
Cole Aldrich	31	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-19	25	12.7	13.9	-1.23	16.3	16.3	0.04
Pablo Prigioni	26	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	13.8	13.4	0.35	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Wesley Johnson	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-5	-3	14.2	13.0	1.18	16.9	15.9	1.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-3	-7	14.1	13.0	1.13	15.2	17.3	-2.05
Jamal Crawford	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-9	5	13.5	13.6	-0.11	17.2	15.4	1.80
Austin Rivers	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	12.1	14.5	-2.38	16.3	16.3	0.04
Chris Paul	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	14.0	12.5	1.47	16.6	15.8	0.71
Paul Pierce	33	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	15.0	12.7	2.22	15.4	16.9	-1.48
DeAndre Jordan	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	2	-17	14.0	12.5	1.47	16.4	16.2	0.23
JJ Redick	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.08	-18	5	-23	13.4	13.6	-0.20	16.8	15.7	1.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	67	64	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.17	30	-17	47	16.0	17.0	-1.03	14.2	12.2	2.03
LeBron James	71	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	-8	29	16.4	16.0	0.44	13.7	13.0	0.76
Kevin Love	67	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	2	9	16.1	16.8	-0.65	13.7	13.0	0.71
Kyrie Irving	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-2	17	16.0	16.8	-0.86	13.8	13.1	0.71
Timofey Mozgov	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	11	-9	16.8	15.9	0.85	14.4	12.8	1.62
Tristan Thompson	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	15.8	16.8	-0.98	13.1	13.9	-0.81
James Jones	27	25	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	13	-13	17.3	15.9	1.40	12.7	13.8	-1.07
Matthew Dellavedova	56	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	21	-29	16.7	15.8	0.98	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Jared Cunningham	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	19	-25	19.2	16.2	3.04	7.3	13.9	-6.59
Iman Shumpert	43	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	20	-27	16.0	16.6	-0.62	12.4	14.4	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.7%
ORL 87, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 85, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%