NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	4.6 [906]		MVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): +10.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.7 [713]		LVP	Chris Johnson (UTA): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	7	89%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	14	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.10	5	19%	-0.05	4	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	4	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	72%	0.19	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	20	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	32.2	15.5	23.6	2.5	27.4	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.0%

UTA -1.4%

POR +13.9%

UTA -6.3%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	14.9	97.7	111.2	105.1
season	16.3	15.0		104.6	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	17.5	17.3	16.2	17.1
POR	17.7	13.2	17.0	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-11	8	17.1	17.1	0.03	14.1	16.0	-1.85
Jeff Withey	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-16	18	16.4	17.7	-1.35	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Rodney Hood	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-9	4	17.2	16.8	0.41	16.2	14.5	1.67
Raul Neto	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	17.4	16.8	0.61	16.5	14.7	1.76
Joe Ingles	27	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	18.3	16.6	1.68	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Trevor Booker	46	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-2	-10	16.5	17.8	-1.23	14.9	16.5	-1.56
Rudy Gobert	40	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	18.2	16.1	2.12	16.9	14.5	2.36
Trey Lyles	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	17.3	16.8	0.47	16.2	15.1	1.06
Trey Burke	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-7	0	16.8	17.6	-0.84	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Gordon Hayward	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-3	-8	16.5	18.5	-1.99	15.8	15.2	0.65

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	65	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-2	18	15.8	15.1	0.76	17.3	16.7	0.59
Damian Lillard	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	16.4	14.5	1.88	16.9	17.4	-0.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	16.5	14.6	1.96	17.4	16.8	0.56
Meyers Leonard	48	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	4	6	14.7	16.8	-2.11	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Mason Plumlee	38	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.04	7	7	0	16.7	14.8	1.91	17.4	16.9	0.50
Allen Crabbe	40	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	4	6	14.6	16.5	-1.84	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Ed Davis	46	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	7	0	14.7	16.7	-2.00	17.0	17.2	-0.22
Maurice Harkless	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	7	0	13.6	16.6	-3.10	17.3	17.0	0.30
Noah Vonleh	32	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	14	-14	18.2	14.2	4.03	18.7	16.3	2.33
Gerald Henderson	33	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	14	-14	14.7	16.2	-1.55	14.8	18.4	-3.52
Chris Kaman	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.0	15.7	-0.67	17.3	17.1	0.24
Pat Connaughton	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	16.2	15.6	0.59	18.8	17.0	1.80
Tim Frazier	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	16.2	15.6	0.59	18.8	17.0	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
VAN 85, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 91, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%