NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	7.9 [272]		MVP	Jerian Grant (NYK): +49.2%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	2.0 [509]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -10.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.16	0.01	10	78%	0.32	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	10	61%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.02	23	59%	0.20	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.09
Amir Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	6	79%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.11	0.00	12	42%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.09	-0.03	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.49	0.49	0.15	0.35	0.00	6	89%	0.49	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.12	0.25	0.00	18	59%	0.37	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	7	83%	0.24	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	18	65%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.01	11	56%	0.22	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	81%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	41%	0.00	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	31.1	10.8	29.5	1.6	34.4	131.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.6%

NYK +19.6%

NYK +4.8%

BOS -10.3%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	12.8	15.7	14.9	112.9	118.8	105.1
season	13.9	15.6		104.5	103.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	11.6	12.8	14.0	12.8
NYK	12.7	17.2	17.2	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	51	49	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-11	16	13.3	12.3	0.99	15.8	15.6	0.16
Kelly Olynyk	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-5	4	12.9	12.8	0.05	14.8	15.9	-1.16
Evan Turner	58	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	13.1	12.6	0.49	15.7	15.6	0.15
Marcus Smart	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-8	10	12.7	13.0	-0.29	16.2	15.1	1.06
Jared Sullinger	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	2	-10	13.9	12.1	1.83	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Amir Johnson	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-4	2	12.4	13.3	-0.85	15.9	15.4	0.44
Jae Crowder	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	12.4	14.1	-1.70	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Avery Bradley	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	1	-8	13.0	12.3	0.73	16.1	14.0	2.08
Isaiah Thomas	75	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	3	-12	12.4	14.1	-1.66	15.2	17.0	-1.73

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	54	55	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-3	12	15.4	16.0	-0.57	13.1	12.6	0.47
Derrick Williams	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	16.6	14.4	2.21	12.7	13.0	-0.28
Arron Afflalo	86	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.2	18.2	-2.97	12.6	14.1	-1.51
Jose Calderon	65	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	15.5	16.0	-0.51	12.3	13.9	-1.69
Jerian Grant	48	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	3	0	16.1	15.3	0.82	13.8	12.1	1.69
Carmelo Anthony	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-4	14	13.9	16.8	-2.94	12.1	13.3	-1.17
Kyle O'Quinn	4	4	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	21.0	15.5	5.55	13.7	12.8	0.95
Lance Thomas	48	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	9	-12	15.9	15.5	0.42	12.9	12.8	0.10
Kevin Seraphin	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	19.2	15.5	3.72	14.5	12.8	1.73
Lou Amundson	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	16.0	15.6	0.35	14.2	12.8	1.41
Kristaps Porzingis	57	58	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	6	-6	15.0	16.5	-1.51	12.6	13.2	-0.64
Langston Galloway	33	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.00	-10	16	-26	17.2	15.0	2.20	13.8	12.4	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	92.2%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	92.0%
NJN 96, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	91.8%