inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 92 Excitement6.7 [502] MVPMike Miller (DEN): +16.8%
Denver Nuggets 95 Comeback2.4 [549] LVPJeremy Lin (CHA): -25.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.160,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.160.140.040.023137%0.1600.002100%0.02
Nicolas Batum0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.040.010.03-0.00853%0.071-0.031100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.021450%0.092-0.072100%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.001248%0.021-0.02580%0.01
Spencer Hawes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00657%0.032-0.042100%0.02
PJ Hairston-0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.02844%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.030.031158%0.003-0.07475%-0.01
Kemba Walker-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.15-0.04-0.090.011239%-0.121-0.034100%0.02
Jeremy Lin-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.18-0.08-0.0199%-0.192-0.07450%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.090.002150%0.1700.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.060.00490%0.1500.002100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.140.140.060.06-0.03867%0.171-0.03250%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.080.080.060.00-0.011855%0.142-0.061385%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00575%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.03935%-0.0300.00250%-0.03
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00450%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.05-0.041142%0.023-0.112100%0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.030.011537%-0.064-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.830.015.522.42.430.4127.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +57.7%
DEN +0.3%
CHA -4.2%
CHA -5.4%
DEN +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADENNBACHADENNBA
this game15.914.614.995.8102.2105.1
season15.114.9105.5104.3
opponent14.914.8107.8103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.813.219.217.115.9
DEN14.513.012.618.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Hawes3534-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-6914.416.7-2.3115.414.11.34
Marvin Williams3835-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-2-1-117.514.82.7015.913.82.13
Jeremy Lamb6058-0.20-0.300.10-0.4910-132314.518.2-3.7215.513.02.55
Nicolas Batum7673-0.21-0.290.08-0.417-101715.816.3-0.5114.913.41.48
Frank Kaminsky5554-0.24-0.260.03-0.240-3314.917.2-2.2312.916.8-3.94
Jeremy Lin4848-0.24-0.260.03-0.240-3315.516.3-0.8314.214.9-0.72
PJ Hairston3635-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-1310-2318.214.53.7213.015.5-2.55
Cody Zeller6159-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.20-63-916.714.42.3114.115.4-1.34
Kemba Walker7169-0.670.17-0.84-0.26-1411-2516.215.20.9915.113.02.05

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris70720.390.110.280.168-51314.315.4-1.1115.916.0-0.14
Jusuf Nurkic28280.360.140.220.128-51315.414.21.1915.116.2-1.11
Emmanuel Mudiay74750.350.150.200.41-25-714.913.41.5016.713.03.77
Danilo Gallinari65670.330.170.160.214-1514.315.2-0.9416.414.71.78
Darrell Arthur54550.300.200.090.184-1513.915.4-1.4716.515.11.44
Randy Foye42450.260.240.010.2603-314.514.6-0.1514.617.1-2.48
Mike Miller13130.250.25-0.000.1630316.714.22.4817.315.71.63
Will Barton58600.200.30-0.100.49-1013-2315.513.02.5514.518.2-3.72
Nikola Jokic44460.140.36-0.22-0.015-2713.315.7-2.4017.514.53.00
Joffrey Lauvergne1719-0.070.57-0.650.07-58-1314.614.60.0413.116.6-3.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 106, NYK 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,194.6%
LAC 98, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,193.1%
NJN 86, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,192.9%