NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	120		Excitement	5.5 [738]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +34.2%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.2 [352]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34	0.24	0.12	0.02	18	79%	0.37	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	12	82%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jabari Parker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	78%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.04
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	9	46%	-0.07	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	59%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	0.01	0.10	13	84%	0.18	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	8	87%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	14	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	9	59%	-0.01	8	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	26.4	15.4	27.0	2.3	40.4	140.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.9%

IND -1.4%

MIL +6.7%

MIL +14.2%

MIL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.9	115.4	111.5	105.1
season	14.8	14.6		102.8	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.8	14.9	16.1	14.2	14.1
IND	13.9	12.8	16.6	11.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-9	22	14.4	13.4	0.97	14.1	11.7	2.32
Khris Middleton	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	13.5	16.7	-3.16	13.0	15.6	-2.54
Jabari Parker	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	-1	6	13.6	15.1	-1.41	14.1	12.6	1.53
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	80	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	9	-14	14.2	13.9	0.35	13.4	14.1	-0.75
John Henson	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	-7	18	14.4	14.1	0.31	14.9	13.0	1.89
O.J. Mayo	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	3	-2	14.6	13.8	0.75	14.1	13.1	0.94
Greg Monroe	63	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	-1	6	14.7	13.3	1.41	14.1	12.8	1.32
Jerryd Bayless	59	59	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.43	-12	16	-28	13.7	14.8	-1.12	11.4	16.3	-4.87
Rashad Vaughn	13	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	16.5	13.8	2.74	14.0	13.5	0.52

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-7	10	14.3	13.3	1.06	15.0	13.8	1.12
Solomon Hill	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.54	19	-23	42	11.4	15.0	-3.64	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Shayne Whittington	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	16.9	13.3	3.60	17.2	13.9	3.37
Rodney Stuckey	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-3	2	13.9	13.2	0.75	15.1	13.2	1.83
Myles Turner	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-1	-2	13.0	13.9	-0.91	14.3	14.1	0.24
Lavoy Allen	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	9	-22	15.3	11.7	3.60	14.8	13.5	1.36
Monta Ellis	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	1	-6	12.8	15.5	-2.67	13.3	16.5	-3.27
George Hill	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	14.0	12.1	1.90	14.4	13.3	1.05
CJ Miles	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	4	-12	13.4	13.7	-0.31	13.4	15.5	-2.13
Paul George	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	3	-10	13.3	14.3	-1.06	13.8	15.0	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, DEN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHX 101, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NOK 91, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.08,0	94.3%