inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 107 Excitement2.4 [1264] MVPArron Afflalo (NYK): +13.8%
Philadelphia 76ers 97 Comeback1.2 [1091] LVPKendall Marshall (PHI): -5.6%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.200.000.061381%0.1400.001100%0.00
Lance Thomas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01675%0.092-0.02475%0.01
Derrick Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.021165%0.0610.00450%-0.02
Robin Lopez0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.01667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerian Grant0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.00-0.08633%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01567%0.033-0.00580%0.01
Sasha Vujacic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.071443%0.023-0.03989%0.01
Langston Galloway-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02564%-0.012-0.0010%-0.00
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02217%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02940%-0.012-0.032100%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nerlens Noel0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.0000%0.00
TJ McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.010.04383%0.0200.0000%0.00
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04771%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jahlil Okafor0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.07-0.000.071754%0.0000.00367%-0.01
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Robert Covington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.03530%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.031056%-0.012-0.01580%-0.00
Hollis Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.04756%-0.021-0.00450%-0.03
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00836%-0.0300.00667%-0.02
JaKarr Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00233%-0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Tony Wroten0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.11-0.00-0.071054%0.047-0.08862%0.01
Kendall Marshall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.435.515.732.01.629.9142.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +17.6%
NYK +15.4%
NYK +8.2%
NYK +9.2%
PHI -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKPHINBANYKPHINBA
this game15.514.014.9109.2100.0105.1
season15.614.8103.597.7
opponent14.214.8108.0106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK16.513.216.216.215.5
PHI13.516.312.613.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arron Afflalo54520.340.160.17-0.1918-82614.916.2-1.3614.513.50.93
Kristaps Porzingis53530.330.170.17-0.1115-52015.016.1-1.1714.813.11.68
Carmelo Anthony59570.310.190.12-0.1315-52015.315.8-0.5714.113.90.22
Jose Calderon49490.260.240.02-0.0912-21415.016.0-0.9214.713.41.26
Robin Lopez33330.250.250.01-0.1614-41815.315.6-0.3015.113.51.61
Derrick Williams46450.230.27-0.040.29-212-1415.515.5-0.0014.114.00.11
Lance Thomas38390.230.27-0.04-0.071001016.115.10.9914.114.00.16
Jerian Grant46460.220.28-0.070.33-414-1815.615.40.1613.514.5-0.93
Langston Galloway32320.190.31-0.13-0.0891816.814.91.9014.114.00.05
Kyle O'Quinn43420.140.36-0.220.0246-216.115.11.0213.714.3-0.52
Sasha Vujacic15150.000.50-0.500.44-1525-4016.215.40.8311.914.4-2.48
Kevin Seraphin11110.000.50-0.500.38-1323-3615.515.50.0510.614.5-3.83
Lou Amundson11110.000.50-0.500.38-1323-3615.515.50.0510.614.5-3.83

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Covington2930-0.07-0.430.370.17-8-2-616.313.13.2016.615.01.54
JaKarr Sampson2424-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-131611.115.0-3.8617.614.82.76
TJ McConnell2728-0.11-0.390.28-0.4612-223413.214.4-1.1716.615.11.55
Nik Stauskas1615-0.11-0.390.27-0.265-152011.714.5-2.8115.115.6-0.43
Kendall Marshall3031-0.16-0.340.190.22-133-1615.713.32.3716.515.11.39
Jerami Grant5655-0.21-0.290.07-0.427-172412.416.2-3.7915.515.40.10
Richaun Holmes4038-0.22-0.280.05-0.406-162212.714.9-2.1815.415.6-0.17
Nerlens Noel5356-0.23-0.270.040.27-177-2415.012.82.1815.615.30.33
Tony Wroten4849-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-7-3-413.614.4-0.7614.816.2-1.45
Jahlil Okafor6060-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.06-9-1-815.411.83.5514.716.7-1.93
Hollis Thompson4446-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-1-812.815.0-2.2215.015.9-0.90
Isaiah Canaan5858-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-2010-3015.711.64.0814.816.5-1.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 110, MIL 910.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.7%
BKN 113, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
BOS 109, DET 890.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%