NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	3.7 [1105]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +13.7%
Detroit Pistons	118		Comeback	1.6 [667]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -10.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.01	-0.07	7	53%	0.10	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
George Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	90%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	46%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Paul George	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	16	33%	-0.04	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.03	-0.04	17	57%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.03	13	77%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	6	92%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.8	16.4	26.1	2.0	24.3	125.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.0%

DET +5.8%

DET +11.1%

DET +8.5%

DET +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.9	96.0	118.0	105.1
season	14.6	15.0		103.2	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		105.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	15.5	11.2	14.6	14.0
DET	15.2	12.6	15.4	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	46	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-25	28	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Jordan Hill	53	54	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-20	18	14.8	13.1	1.67	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Rodney Stuckey	47	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.16	-5	-17	12	14.9	13.2	1.66	14.2	15.4	-1.16
Solomon Hill	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	14.1	14.0	0.14	15.9	14.7	1.21
Chase Budinger	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-19	16	14.8	13.6	1.28	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Glenn Robinson	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-19	16	15.5	13.5	2.01	14.0	15.1	-1.04
Paul George	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	-3	-16	13.5	15.2	-1.79	15.0	14.3	0.76
George Hill	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-7	-8	13.6	14.7	-1.07	16.0	12.7	3.25
Monta Ellis	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	2	-26	13.4	14.6	-1.26	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Ian Mahinmi	47	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	-2	-18	13.1	14.8	-1.67	15.8	14.0	1.80
CJ Miles	50	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	3	-28	13.6	14.3	-0.66	15.2	14.5	0.70

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	62	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.06	22	0	22	15.2	14.2	1.00	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Reggie Jackson	52	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	1	20	16.0	13.6	2.36	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	2	18	15.4	12.9	2.57	14.1	13.7	0.41
Ersan Ilyasova	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	4	14	14.9	14.6	0.30	13.6	14.5	-0.93
Andre Drummond	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.19	20	2	18	14.9	14.7	0.28	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Aron Baynes	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	17	-12	15.0	14.8	0.21	14.7	13.6	1.07
Anthony Tolliver	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	15	-8	15.0	14.8	0.20	15.1	13.4	1.70
Stanley Johnson	54	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	17	-12	13.7	16.1	-2.37	14.8	13.0	1.79
Steve Blake	40	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	18	-14	13.6	15.6	-1.97	14.5	13.7	0.81
Reggie Bullock	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.4	15.0	-1.58	11.9	14.1	-2.27
Darrun Hilliard	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.4	15.0	-1.58	11.9	14.1	-2.27
Spencer Dinwiddie	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.4	15.0	-1.58	11.9	14.1	-2.27
Joel Anthony	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.4	15.0	-1.58	11.9	14.1	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 102, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%