NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	8.8 [164]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): +25.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	25.1 [45]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -36.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.11	-0.00	6	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.00	0.13	-0.01	19	55%	0.22	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	8	53%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Allen Crabbe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	57%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	20	37%	-0.01	2	-0.22	6	83%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.37	-0.11	-0.25	0.00	10	30%	-0.31	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.21	-0.01	13	54%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.20	0.03	11	67%	0.32	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	10	61%	0.16	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	6	-0.18	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.4	15.8	28.3	2.4	40.4	143.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.7%

MIL +7.9%

POR -11.8%

MIL +13.8%

MIL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	14.9	90.7	91.8	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		107.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.6		107.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	14.8	14.7	16.3	15.9
MIL	11.8	15.2	15.3	12.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	51	49	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.07	10	-12	22	16.1	15.7	0.36	13.6	13.7	-0.14
Maurice Harkless	18	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	17.3	15.6	1.78	14.1	13.6	0.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-1	0	15.0	17.5	-2.51	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	26	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	16.8	15.5	1.31	14.4	13.4	1.02
Gerald Henderson	29	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.8	0.21	14.3	13.4	0.92
Ed Davis	59	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-6	10	16.1	15.6	0.46	13.2	14.3	-1.04
Mason Plumlee	40	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	7	-16	15.4	16.2	-0.83	13.9	13.5	0.46
Meyers Leonard	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	17.2	14.7	2.41	13.2	14.0	-0.82
CJ McCollum	72	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-1	0	15.4	17.2	-1.82	13.9	13.0	0.92
Damian Lillard	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.6	17.4	-1.78	13.3	15.2	-1.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	75	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-9	20	13.3	15.0	-1.75	16.2	14.7	1.50
Giannis Antetokounmpo	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.50	6	-4	10	13.2	14.6	-1.47	15.2	17.3	-2.15
Greg Monroe	56	56	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-11	24	13.6	13.7	-0.13	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Khris Middleton	82	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	13.8	13.0	0.79	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Michael Carter-Williams	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	5	-8	13.5	14.0	-0.47	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Rashad Vaughn	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	15.0	13.4	1.62	16.8	15.7	1.08
Jabari Parker	65	63	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.18	3	-1	4	13.8	13.4	0.45	17.0	13.9	3.04
John Henson	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.17	-11	13	-24	13.7	13.6	0.13	16.5	15.4	1.08
Johnny O'Bryant	24	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	11	-20	14.9	13.3	1.66	14.8	16.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.39,0.11,0.09,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.46,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,1	89.7%
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	89.6%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	89.3%