NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	6.1 [608]		MVP	Andre Miller (MIN): +14.7%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	1.5 [534]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -25.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	4	109%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	83%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	17	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	14	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	10	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	68%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	16	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	9	33%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.07	-0.00	13	8%	-0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.4	15.4	23.3	1.8	31.1	126.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +38.3%

MIN +12.2%

MIN +7.8%

SAC -8.2%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	14.9	109.8	98.9	105.1
season	14.8	13.9		104.8	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.0		107.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	15.3	15.7	20.4	16.6
SAC	14.6	17.5	13.1	13.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	47	47	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-4	18	18.2	15.0	3.19	15.3	14.0	1.27
Andre Miller	33	34	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-2	14	17.6	16.0	1.60	16.4	13.7	2.68
Andrew Wiggins	69	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	5	0	16.7	16.4	0.23	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Tayshaun Prince	40	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	2	6	17.6	15.8	1.75	15.5	14.2	1.28
Shabazz Muhammad	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	0	10	17.0	16.4	0.57	15.4	14.3	1.10
Damjan Rudez	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	2	6	17.7	16.0	1.61	15.2	14.4	0.85
Kevin Garnett	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	14.5	17.9	-3.43	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Kevin Martin	57	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	16.2	17.3	-1.18	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Zach LaVine	59	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	12	-14	16.0	17.6	-1.60	13.7	16.4	-2.68
Karl-Anthony Towns	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	14	-18	15.0	18.2	-3.19	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Adreian Payne	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	16	-22	17.4	16.5	0.97	15.5	14.6	0.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.0	14.8	-6.84	17.0	16.6	0.40
James Anderson	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.0	14.8	-6.84	17.0	16.6	0.40
Omri Casspi	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-11	12	13.4	16.5	-3.07	16.9	16.1	0.81
Ben McLemore	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.7	14.7	-0.03	16.5	16.7	-0.13
Quincy Acy	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-2	-6	14.8	14.7	0.18	14.8	17.1	-2.25
Rudy Gay	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-6	2	15.2	14.0	1.23	15.8	17.7	-1.97
Willie Cauley-Stein	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	14.9	14.5	0.35	16.5	16.7	-0.14
Rajon Rondo	71	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-5	0	14.5	15.3	-0.83	16.1	18.2	-2.13
Kosta Koufos	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	15.0	14.2	0.80	16.6	16.7	-0.14
Marco Belinelli	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.9	14.2	0.66	17.2	15.3	1.94
Darren Collison	42	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	7	-24	15.7	13.9	1.79	18.2	15.4	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 113, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.4%
NOK 105, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
LAC 100, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0	93.2%