inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 95 Excitement8.6 [194] MVPDamjan Rudez (MIN): +36.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Comeback2.5 [344] LVPAndrew Wiggins (MIN): -14.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0.160,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.06-0.004125%0.171-0.0100%0.00
Kyle Korver0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.01679%0.102-0.062100%0.01
Lamar Patterson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03430%-0.001-0.02250%-0.03
Jeff Teague-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.030.04-0.060.011754%0.022-0.04771%-0.01
Mike Scott-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00525%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Mike Muscala-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00557%0.104-0.14475%-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.050.06-0.070.031554%-0.021-0.031182%0.03
Al Horford-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021534%0.002-0.09540%-0.06
Dennis Schroder-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.01812%-0.081-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damjan Rudez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.370.370.140.220.005108%0.3700.002100%0.06
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.150.150.060.07-0.011364%0.212-0.062100%0.02
Adreian Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.030.003100%0.1200.002100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00267%0.0300.002100%0.03
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.00756%0.082-0.064100%0.04
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.00736%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.000.001235%-0.0600.00757%-0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.02731%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.020.02650%0.013-0.1000%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.13,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.030.001736%-0.013-0.13862%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.831.316.527.32.435.4138.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +35.0%
MIN +7.0%
MIN +4.8%
MIN +1.5%
MIN +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMINNBAATLMINNBA
this game14.515.114.996.9102.1105.1
season14.214.8104.1104.8
opponent15.015.1108.4100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.314.414.813.414.5
MIN14.014.415.216.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Patterson35340.24-0.740.990.076-101615.414.01.4013.316.0-2.69
Paul Millsap67650.04-0.540.59-0.2811-152613.516.5-2.9515.414.40.99
Dennis Schroder2828-0.00-0.500.490.02-1-3215.514.01.4915.415.00.40
Mike Muscala3939-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-4412.815.6-2.7814.515.5-1.02
Kyle Korver7775-0.03-0.470.45-0.268-122013.717.3-3.6514.417.2-2.79
Mike Scott2625-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.11-95-1416.913.63.2914.815.2-0.31
Tim Hardaway Jr.2121-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-128-2017.313.73.6516.714.62.10
Jeff Teague7070-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.41-3-1-214.015.5-1.4915.114.90.25
Al Horford6465-0.650.15-0.79-0.35-106-1615.512.62.9315.214.80.39
Thabo Sefolosha6363-0.740.24-0.99-0.45-106-1614.015.4-1.4016.013.32.69

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince40420.75-0.251.000.4012-82015.714.61.1114.714.30.35
Damjan Rudez34360.58-0.080.660.406-2815.814.71.1113.714.9-1.22
Gorgui Dieng50510.51-0.010.530.375-1616.014.02.0014.614.30.25
Zach LaVine52540.450.050.410.4313-216.213.82.4613.915.1-1.21
Andrew Wiggins75750.330.170.160.39-26-815.314.40.8613.617.3-3.76
Ricky Rubio45440.050.45-0.41-0.0431213.816.2-2.4615.113.91.21
Kevin Martin49490.040.46-0.420.0113-214.016.2-2.2514.814.20.61
Adreian Payne34330.010.49-0.48-0.0831214.415.4-0.9714.514.5-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad3131-0.040.54-0.570.02-26-815.115.1-0.0115.514.01.53
Kevin Garnett2929-0.090.59-0.680.06-59-1415.015.1-0.1515.414.11.39
Karl-Anthony Towns4646-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-26-814.315.7-1.4214.614.40.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 96, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,191.5%
ORL 98, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,191.3%
MIN 90, GSW 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.92,191.2%