NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	3.0 [1213]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +9.3%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	1.0 [1270]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (CHA): -5.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	73%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	7	43%	0.01	4	0.00	7	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Phil Pressey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.11	12	58%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	12	37%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.04	12	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	67%	0.08	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.3	28.4	15.5	25.2	1.8	33.2	126.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.3%

CHA +6.5%

CHA +0.7%

CHA +6.5%

CHA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	14.9	91.7	117.7	105.1
season	14.8	15.1		97.7	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.2		103.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	18.1	15.9	13.9	16.1
CHA	12.2	13.2	14.7	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.20	-9	-16	7	15.4	16.4	-0.92	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Christian Wood	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.31	-13	-12	-1	13.7	16.3	-2.57	14.2	13.9	0.36
Robert Covington	47	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.19	-10	-15	5	14.8	17.4	-2.58	14.7	13.1	1.55
Phil Pressey	20	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.31	-15	-10	-5	16.1	16.1	-0.01	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Isaiah Canaan	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-17	9	16.3	15.9	0.41	14.3	13.6	0.65
Nik Stauskas	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-23	21	16.5	15.3	1.17	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Jahlil Okafor	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-16	7	16.6	15.2	1.42	13.9	13.8	0.10
Nerlens Noel	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-19	13	16.0	16.3	-0.32	13.9	13.9	-0.06
TJ McConnell	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-13	1	16.4	15.7	0.65	13.6	14.3	-0.65
Hollis Thompson	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	-3	-19	16.4	15.7	0.65	14.2	13.5	0.68
Jerami Grant	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-6	-13	16.3	15.9	0.37	13.4	14.5	-1.12

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	0	25	13.6	14.8	-1.14	16.6	14.4	2.14
Al Jefferson	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	7	11	13.7	14.3	-0.66	16.8	14.9	1.96
Marvin Williams	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	7	11	13.8	14.1	-0.35	16.7	15.2	1.46
Nicolas Batum	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	9	7	13.7	14.4	-0.71	16.4	15.5	0.91
Jeremy Lamb	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	11	3	14.1	13.5	0.58	16.3	15.8	0.52
Jeremy Lin	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	19	-13	13.7	14.2	-0.57	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	18	-11	14.1	13.8	0.35	15.2	16.7	-1.46
Spencer Hawes	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	27	-29	14.1	13.8	0.35	15.2	16.5	-1.36
Brian Roberts	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.18	7	18	-11	14.9	13.5	1.38	14.2	16.8	-2.67
Troy Daniels	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	18	-11	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.0	16.3	-3.27
Aaron Harrison	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	18	-11	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.0	16.3	-3.27
Tyler Hansbrough	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	16	-7	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.0	16.3	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, SAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NOP 80, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 80, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%