NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	125		Excitement	3.0 [1210]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +12.9%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	1.0 [1048]		LVP	Drew Gooden (WAS): -5.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	15	70%	0.15	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.21	0.00	0.14	10	93%	0.10	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	2	133%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch McGary	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	55%	0.03	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	2	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	65%	-0.02	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	32.1	14.8	26.0	1.5	28.6	126.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +49.0%

OKC +4.3%

OKC +3.3%

WAS -9.2%

OKC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.9	122.5	99.0	105.1
season	14.4	13.8		111.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	14.0	14.6	16.3	14.7
WAS	15.0	13.7	12.6	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.23	23	1	22	13.2	16.9	-3.72	14.2	12.6	1.61
Enes Kanter	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	3	18	14.3	15.1	-0.86	13.3	13.8	-0.57
Serge Ibaka	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	4	16	13.6	16.7	-3.15	14.5	11.8	2.74
Andre Roberson	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.28	22	2	20	13.3	16.3	-3.07	13.9	13.1	0.74
Kevin Durant	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	9	6	12.1	16.2	-4.05	14.6	12.9	1.73
Dion Waiters	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	18	-12	15.8	13.7	2.13	12.9	14.2	-1.25
Kyle Singler	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	17	-10	16.7	13.4	3.25	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Mitch McGary	26	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	23	-22	16.9	13.9	3.00	12.2	14.0	-1.75
Steven Adams	42	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	19	-14	14.7	14.7	0.01	14.4	12.9	1.43
D.J. Augustin	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	24	-24	16.7	13.7	2.97	13.0	13.8	-0.87
Anthony Morrow	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	21	-18	15.9	14.1	1.85	12.2	14.2	-2.07
Nick Collison	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	18.0	14.3	3.71	11.7	13.8	-2.04
Cameron Payne	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	18.1	14.4	3.71	10.7	13.8	-3.04

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	34	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-27	30	13.5	13.6	-0.03	16.6	13.7	2.94
Ramon Sessions	48	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-21	18	12.1	14.8	-2.73	16.6	13.0	3.54
DeJuan Blair	37	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-20	16	12.5	14.2	-1.67	16.2	13.9	2.29
Garrett Temple	45	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	-17	10	12.5	14.4	-1.94	16.3	13.5	2.79
Drew Gooden	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-10	-4	14.3	13.3	1.07	13.5	15.1	-1.54
Kelly Oubre	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-13	2	12.7	14.5	-1.84	15.7	13.5	2.26
Kris Humphries	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-11	-2	13.1	13.8	-0.70	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Gary Neal	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-12	0	14.5	12.6	1.92	13.9	15.6	-1.77
Otto Porter	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.20	-21	-3	-18	14.3	12.5	1.82	13.3	16.9	-3.64
John Wall	54	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	-5	-14	14.4	12.5	1.90	13.1	16.4	-3.24
Marcin Gortat	58	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-5	-14	14.6	12.2	2.36	13.4	16.5	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 111, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DEN 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 85, ORL 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%