NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	5.3 [784]		MVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): +15.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	124		Comeback	1.2 [1150]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -16.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	15	76%	0.15	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
TJ Warren	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	74%	0.10	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	20	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	14	50%	-0.00	8	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	10	91%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.17	-0.00	0.13	19	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	20	48%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	18%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	30.3	15.4	27.2	1.8	30.2	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +9.0%

OKC +5.5%

OKC +14.3%

OKC +22.1%

PHX -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	13.3	13.7	14.9	96.3	117.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.4		100.9	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.4		104.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	12.9	14.1	13.8	13.3
OKC	14.8	13.8	13.0	13.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	27	27	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-26	31	11.3	14.0	-2.65	15.3	13.2	2.06
Archie Goodwin	33	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-25	29	12.2	13.8	-1.64	14.6	13.3	1.30
Mirza Teletovic	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-24	27	12.9	13.4	-0.45	15.6	13.5	2.15
TJ Warren	55	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-22	23	12.9	13.7	-0.77	13.4	14.1	-0.74
Alex Len	47	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-25	29	12.2	14.2	-1.93	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Ronnie Price	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-18	15	12.3	13.5	-1.14	11.8	14.1	-2.25
Devin Booker	22	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-16	11	12.5	13.5	-0.97	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Eric Bledsoe	80	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-8	-5	13.3	13.3	0.03	14.3	12.1	2.19
Tyson Chandler	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.33	-25	4	-29	14.5	12.2	2.25	13.8	13.6	0.20
Brandon Knight	70	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	2	-25	14.1	11.8	2.26	13.6	14.0	-0.46
PJ Tucker	46	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	3	-27	14.1	12.8	1.31	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Markieff Morris	75	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.26	-29	8	-37	14.0	11.8	2.19	13.0	15.3	-2.32

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	76	78	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.38	36	-15	51	14.0	13.1	0.87	14.3	10.8	3.51
Kevin Durant	67	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.34	32	-11	43	13.7	13.8	-0.11	14.1	11.9	2.21
Russell Westbrook	72	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.27	26	-5	31	14.0	13.1	0.98	14.2	11.2	2.99
Andre Roberson	47	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	6	9	14.7	12.9	1.75	14.1	12.7	1.43
Steven Adams	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.07	12	9	3	14.1	13.4	0.70	13.5	13.2	0.34
Enes Kanter	63	65	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	12	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.70	13.2	13.5	-0.34
Dion Waiters	58	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	14	-7	12.9	14.7	-1.87	12.7	14.0	-1.36
Cameron Payne	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	13.0	13.8	-0.76	10.7	13.4	-2.67
D.J. Augustin	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	26	-31	13.5	13.8	-0.39	11.2	14.2	-2.99
Kyle Singler	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	32	-43	13.6	13.8	-0.17	12.1	14.0	-1.90
Mitch McGary	30	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.26	-15	36	-51	13.1	14.0	-0.87	10.8	14.3	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 81, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
UTA 89, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 96, SAC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%