NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	8.3 [227]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (MIL): +20.7%
Brooklyn Nets	96		Comeback	2.5 [472]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -22.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	15	70%	0.27	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	12	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.06	0.01	14	72%	0.29	2	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Copeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	57%	0.11	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	0%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	5	91%	0.25	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.06
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.15	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	10	61%	0.19	3	-0.24	3	67%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	26%	0.02	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.11	-0.03	11	56%	-0.00	5	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.22	-0.22	0.02	-0.22	0.02	14	47%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	30.3	14.8	27.2	2.5	38.2	140.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +58.5%

BKN -8.0%

MIL +3.8%

BKN -1.2%

BKN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	14.9	110.8	107.9	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		102.8	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		109.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	13.5	14.8	17.5	15.4
BKN	16.2	16.0	17.2	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	75	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-6	19	15.8	13.5	2.30	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Jerryd Bayless	91	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-4	15	15.3	18.0	-2.70	16.4	14.7	1.71
Michael Carter-Williams	43	43	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-1	9	14.6	16.0	-1.40	16.4	16.2	0.20
Johnny O'Bryant	33	30	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	-6	19	15.7	15.2	0.53	17.0	15.9	1.08
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	5	-3	15.3	15.8	-0.48	16.6	14.4	2.23
Khris Middleton	77	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	9	-11	15.0	16.9	-1.84	15.8	18.8	-3.05
Chris Copeland	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	5.0	15.5	-10.47	0.0	16.3	-16.31
Greivis Vasquez	52	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	16.1	14.4	1.64	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Miles Plumlee	13	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	12	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.41	16.2	16.3	-0.19

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	48	50	0.36	-0.86	1.21	-0.05	14	-21	35	16.0	16.7	-0.77	15.4	15.3	0.10
Markel Brown	50	50	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-10	13	16.4	16.3	0.10	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Brook Lopez	67	67	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-10	13	16.1	17.1	-1.03	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	7	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	18.4	16.1	2.29	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Jarrett Jack	64	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-10	13	15.8	17.7	-1.90	15.7	14.4	1.34
Wayne Ellington	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-4	1	17.2	16.2	1.07	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Joe Johnson	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	15.8	20.2	-4.41	15.4	15.1	0.33
Thomas Robinson	15	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	1	-9	18.3	15.9	2.43	15.6	15.3	0.36
Andrea Bargnani	28	31	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	8	-23	16.4	16.3	0.11	14.3	15.9	-1.65
Shane Larkin	30	32	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	5	-17	17.7	15.6	2.09	17.8	14.1	3.70
Bojan Bogdanovic	45	49	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.32	-15	8	-23	16.5	16.1	0.35	15.3	15.4	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.57,0.43,0.27,0	91.8%
NYK 87, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.27,0	91.0%
SAS 108, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.27,0	90.9%