NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	2.8 [1202]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +8.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	78		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): -8.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.00	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	71%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	8	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	42%	-0.00	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Jabari Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	69%	-0.03	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	28.5	15.8	26.9	1.7	25.5	123.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.1%

LAL -0.5%

LAL -6.6%

LAC +14.8%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	18.0	15.1	119.1	88.6	104.2
season	14.6	15.5		110.5	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		108.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	11.8	13.5	19.0	14.6
LAL	18.2	18.2	19.2	16.1	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	56	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-1	30	13.3	16.8	-3.47	18.7	16.7	2.06
Chris Paul	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	1	26	13.7	16.1	-2.40	18.9	16.4	2.45
DeAndre Jordan	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	1	26	13.7	16.1	-2.40	18.9	16.4	2.45
Blake Griffin	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	0	28	13.4	16.9	-3.47	18.6	16.8	1.82
JJ Redick	41	40	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	13	2	13.6	15.5	-1.89	18.3	17.7	0.59
Austin Rivers	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.69	26	2	24	13.7	15.3	-1.56	18.7	17.4	1.32
Glen Davis	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.49	17	11	6	13.5	15.0	-1.48	18.0	17.9	0.06
Dahntay Jones	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	41	-54	22.2	13.6	8.55	13.3	18.5	-5.15
Jordan Hamilton	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	41	-54	22.2	13.6	8.55	13.3	18.5	-5.15
Ekpe Udoh	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	43	-58	20.6	13.7	6.91	13.9	18.6	-4.68
Lester Hudson	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	27	-26	16.1	13.7	2.40	16.4	18.9	-2.45
Hedo Turkoglu	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.36	12	16	-4	14.4	14.7	-0.23	17.9	18.0	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	29	-30	16.9	13.3	3.54	16.7	18.7	-1.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	16.1	18.5	-2.40	19.0	13.3	5.69
Robert Sacre	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	16.1	18.5	-2.40	19.0	13.3	5.69
Jordan Hill	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	-19	10	17.3	18.2	-0.86	12.3	15.6	-3.25
Dwight Buycks	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.21	-11	-17	6	16.5	19.2	-2.70	14.9	14.4	0.47
Carlos Boozer	31	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.35	-17	-11	-6	18.6	17.6	0.97	13.0	15.4	-2.47
Jeremy Lin	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-21	14	18.0	17.9	0.12	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Jabari Brown	55	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.31	-21	-7	-14	17.9	18.0	-0.12	15.2	13.5	1.68
Jordan Clarkson	47	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	-11	-6	19.2	16.5	2.70	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Tarik Black	42	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-8	-12	19.2	16.8	2.41	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Wesley Johnson	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.44	-29	1	-30	18.6	16.7	1.89	13.9	16.1	-2.27
Ryan Kelly	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-17	6	17.7	18.8	-1.15	14.6	14.5	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 119, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
UTA 122, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAS 107, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%