NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	8.9 [142]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +35.8%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	7.9 [230]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (OKC): -17.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.20	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	12	66%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,-0.04,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	55%	0.14	7	-0.23	10	90%	0.07
Dion Waiters	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	16	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	11	27%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.16	0.03	14	84%	0.42	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	18	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	69%	0.16	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	5	25%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	36%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	20	47%	0.07	4	-0.14	11	73%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	36.5	17.7	33.5	2.4	36.4	156.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.4%

DAL +5.0%

OKC -24.2%

DAL +26.0%

OKC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	13.5	15.1	106.5	111.2	104.2
season	14.5	14.6		105.7	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.5	12.7	14.4	13.7	13.3
DAL	13.7	15.0	12.3	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	24	25	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-15	26	11.2	13.9	-2.75	15.0	13.0	2.03
Steven Adams	64	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	14.1	12.1	1.97	13.9	12.8	1.08
Andre Roberson	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-10	16	12.7	13.5	-0.79	12.7	13.8	-1.05
Anthony Morrow	63	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-8	12	12.2	14.8	-2.64	12.8	14.5	-1.76
Mitch McGary	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-2	0	13.0	13.5	-0.44	12.8	13.9	-1.01
Kyle Singler	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	4	-12	14.8	13.0	1.83	14.4	13.3	1.19
Russell Westbrook	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	13.0	14.0	-0.99	14.0	11.9	2.14
Dion Waiters	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	2	-8	13.6	12.5	1.11	13.0	15.0	-2.05
D.J. Augustin	55	53	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	5	-14	13.7	12.9	0.79	13.2	13.8	-0.55
Enes Kanter	86	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	6	-16	13.5	12.5	1.01	13.2	14.4	-1.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	71	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	13.3	13.9	-0.57	13.8	12.2	1.68
Chandler Parsons	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-6	16	13.1	15.0	-1.96	13.4	12.8	0.66
Tyson Chandler	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	13.6	13.2	0.47	14.0	11.9	2.02
Monta Ellis	84	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	-2	8	13.0	15.2	-2.21	13.4	13.1	0.28
Dirk Nowitzki	55	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	-1	6	14.6	12.3	2.37	14.6	11.8	2.77
Richard Jefferson	29	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	8	-12	12.6	13.8	-1.28	11.6	14.0	-2.37
Jose Juan Barea	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-1	6	13.9	13.2	0.69	13.3	13.3	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	5	-6	13.2	13.6	-0.47	11.9	14.0	-2.02
Charlie Villanueva	45	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.11	-3	7	-10	13.4	13.5	-0.07	12.5	13.8	-1.32
Devin Harris	20	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.14	-15	19	-34	15.3	13.1	2.23	10.9	13.8	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.85,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.83,0.71,0.6,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.95,1	90.9%
MIL 102, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.9,1,1,1	90.9%
SAS 103, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.94,0.92,1	89.7%