NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	8.8 [159]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +37.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	2.9 [539]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -23.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.37	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.37	0.07	0.30	-0.01	14	73%	0.53	6	-0.16	9	56%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.31	0.01	0.31	0.02	13	55%	0.35	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.06
Tony Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	76%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.13	0.07	-0.07	7	47%	0.20	7	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.23	0.23	-0.06	0.30	0.00	18	36%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.08	-0.02	8	76%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	72%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	22	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	5	8%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.12	0.02	12	41%	-0.08	4	-0.15	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	30.3	15.5	31.1	2.5	36.4	138.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +77.8%

MEM +16.2%

MIN -13.2%

MIN -30.1%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.1	106.3	104.3	104.2
season	15.9	15.0		103.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		110.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	12.7	15.7	14.2	14.8
MIN	14.6	15.6	16.3	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	62	61	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.70	9	-5	14	16.2	12.0	4.27	16.1	15.5	0.60
Mike Conley	66	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.61	6	-2	8	15.9	12.2	3.72	15.9	15.8	0.10
Courtney Lee	60	60	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.50	7	-3	10	15.8	12.9	2.87	16.0	15.6	0.40
Marc Gasol	68	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.57	3	1	2	15.7	12.4	3.28	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Jeff Green	57	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.54	1	3	-2	15.4	13.8	1.61	16.0	15.7	0.35
Nick Calathes	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.12	2	2	0	12.6	15.7	-3.10	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Kosta Koufos	27	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.18	1	3	-2	12.4	15.7	-3.28	16.4	15.7	0.67
Jon Leuer	30	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.20	-3	7	-10	12.7	15.7	-3.01	16.2	15.7	0.45
Beno Udrih	29	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.23	-2	6	-8	12.2	15.9	-3.72	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Tony Allen	48	46	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.27	-4	8	-12	13.3	16.2	-2.92	15.2	16.6	-1.46

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	45	46	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-7	10	15.1	16.7	-1.60	12.8	16.6	-3.83
Adreian Payne	44	45	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-13	22	18.3	13.7	4.56	15.5	14.1	1.47
Zach LaVine	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.13	-7	3	-10	15.9	15.9	-0.04	12.7	15.4	-2.70
Kevin Garnett	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	2	-8	14.4	16.6	-2.15	15.6	14.3	1.27
Nikola Pekovic	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	4	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.67	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Ricky Rubio	78	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-9	14	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.4	11.3	4.15
Gorgui Dieng	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-4	4	16.0	15.6	0.35	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Andrew Wiggins	80	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	15.9	15.8	0.05	15.3	11.9	3.40
Kevin Martin	66	68	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.56	-15	11	-26	15.7	16.5	-0.83	14.9	14.3	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	91.8%
POR 109, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.06,0,0	91.7%
NYK 95, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0	91.4%