inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 76 Excitement4.9 [832] MVPCorey Brewer (HOU): +4.6%
Houston Rockets 98 Comeback1.8 [662] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -32.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.15-0.010.121667%0.072-0.06875%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.010.06573%0.041-0.035100%0.04
Greg Stiemsma0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03743%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00736%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05930%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Amir Johnson-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.0120%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.05-0.051432%-0.065-0.12367%-0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.330,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.23,-0.29,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.23-0.10-0.011331%-0.137-0.201070%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.010.031963%0.113-0.06367%0.00
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.04942%0.031-0.01862%-0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01150%0.0100.00475%0.01
Joey Dorsey0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pablo Prigioni00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.011259%0.125-0.131080%0.02
Trevor Ariza0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00945%0.012-0.042100%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.011246%-0.013-0.062100%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.06-0.01750%-0.025-0.1120%-0.03
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.01819%-0.053-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.530.015.629.32.333.4138.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +38.7%
TOR -3.2%
HOU +4.8%
HOU +4.2%
HOU +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORHOUNBATORHOUNBA
this game15.112.215.172.492.5104.2
season15.614.3109.1105.6
opponent14.915.0103.1106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.413.915.615.515.1
HOU11.312.712.212.712.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Hayes770.01-0.510.510.09-3-191613.915.2-1.3315.112.03.13
Greg Stiemsma440.00-0.500.500.06-2-201815.215.10.169.012.3-3.34
Lucas Nogueira770.00-0.500.500.06-2-201815.015.1-0.1011.912.2-0.39
Landry Fields980.00-0.500.50-0.031-232414.915.1-0.2311.712.3-0.51
Amir Johnson4141-0.16-0.340.17-0.05-4-181415.015.1-0.1212.911.81.08
Terrence Ross4645-0.18-0.320.140.20-13-9-415.714.61.0311.812.5-0.69
Tyler Hansbrough1719-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-13416.914.72.2010.412.6-2.19
DeMar DeRozan8182-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-11015.015.5-0.5813.09.73.24
James Johnson7577-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-9-13414.815.9-1.1312.411.80.63
Jonas Valanciunas5557-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.290-222214.915.3-0.4712.811.61.20
Patrick Patterson5453-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-17-5-1214.715.5-0.8411.413.0-1.57
Greivis Vasquez5050-0.36-0.14-0.230.43-275-3215.514.70.8111.313.1-1.77
Kyle Lowry7980-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-14-8-615.115.00.1812.312.00.34

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Jones52510.53-0.030.56-0.2928-63411.912.5-0.6115.914.31.57
Corey Brewer77760.480.020.47-0.3127-53211.813.3-1.5515.115.10.04
James Harden66650.340.160.180.08913-412.312.00.2714.416.2-1.78
Jason Terry41400.250.250.01-0.271841411.812.5-0.6316.314.41.95
Josh Smith49460.250.25-0.00-0.13139411.812.6-0.8614.115.8-1.72
Patrick Beverley57560.250.25-0.010.10517-1212.611.80.7514.316.0-1.77
Trevor Ariza61600.180.32-0.15-0.09913-412.711.61.1515.814.11.76
Donatas Motiejunas65660.150.35-0.190.04418-1412.811.21.6315.115.1-0.01
Joey Dorsey35350.070.43-0.360.10-123-2412.712.00.6615.315.00.37
KJ McDaniels890.000.50-0.500.03-123-2411.712.3-0.5114.915.1-0.23
Pablo Prigioni890.000.50-0.500.03-123-2411.712.3-0.5114.915.1-0.23
Kostas Papanikolaou11120.000.50-0.500.00022-2210.612.4-1.7614.715.2-0.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
NYK 84, HOU 970.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
CHI 93, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%