NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	9.3 [111]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +48.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	119		Comeback	3.9 [247]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -15.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.45	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.45	0.28	0.21	0.05	14	91%	0.45	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	79%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	4	100%	0.19	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-0.01	11	15%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.48	0.48	0.17	0.31	-0.00	15	72%	0.59	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.06,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.19	0.03	16	63%	0.33	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	7	61%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	28	36%	-0.39
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.0	37.2	18.4	33.6	3.4	48.3	166.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.8%

SAS -11.9%

LAC +16.0%

LAC +10.3%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	12.8	15.1	110.6	114.4	104.2
season	15.4	14.6		106.9	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.9	15.4	15.0	15.2	14.9
LAC	13.8	12.3	14.3	11.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	56	56	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-8	12	15.4	14.2	1.18	13.2	12.4	0.80
Aron Baynes	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	15.8	13.8	1.99	11.9	13.9	-2.06
Matt Bonner	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	21.5	14.8	6.75	0.0	12.9	-12.93
Patty Mills	27	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-2	0	13.4	15.4	-2.00	16.0	11.8	4.26
Tiago Splitter	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-2	0	13.9	15.4	-1.53	14.7	11.9	2.77
Tim Duncan	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-9	14	15.5	13.4	2.04	11.8	15.5	-3.71
Danny Green	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-5	6	15.6	13.9	1.71	11.0	15.4	-4.41
Tony Parker	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-4	4	15.6	13.1	2.47	12.1	14.7	-2.66
Boris Diaw	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	10	-24	13.4	15.6	-2.23	14.4	12.0	2.34
Marco Belinelli	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.51	1	-5	6	14.2	15.7	-1.53	13.1	12.5	0.63
Manu Ginobili	47	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	10	-24	13.4	16.1	-2.66	14.3	11.4	2.95

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	67	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-8	20	12.4	13.5	-1.05	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Glen Davis	33	36	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-13	30	13.9	12.3	1.57	15.6	14.5	1.11
JJ Redick	85	86	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-4	12	13.0	12.1	0.92	15.0	14.3	0.67
Chris Paul	89	89	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	4	-4	12.4	15.1	-2.72	14.9	14.9	-0.06
DeAndre Jordan	85	86	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	12.3	15.1	-2.81	15.1	13.7	1.41
Hedo Turkoglu	14	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-3	10	15.1	12.5	2.62	13.9	15.0	-1.19
Matt Barnes	75	73	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	14	-24	13.0	12.3	0.74	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Spencer Hawes	72	70	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	16	-28	12.9	12.6	0.31	14.9	14.9	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.72,1	93.2%
ORL 79, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.95,1	92.7%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.1%