NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	3.7 [1073]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +10.5%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.2 [518]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	22	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	15	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	9	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	24	36%	-0.05	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	5	76%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	10	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	16	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	26.6	16.4	28.4	2.4	39.4	141.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.0%

IND -0.5%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +9.4%

SAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.1	100.0	94.9	104.2
season	14.9	16.0		103.7	102.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	14.1	17.0	16.9	15.2
IND	14.7	14.1	14.3	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	51	54	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-18	41	14.0	16.4	-2.38	15.7	11.8	3.93
Ben McLemore	74	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-7	19	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Rudy Gay	90	91	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	15.1	15.7	-0.52	14.1	11.4	2.75
Darren Collison	81	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	15.3	14.8	0.44	13.7	14.9	-1.24
DeMarcus Cousins	78	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	-2	9	15.6	13.8	1.82	13.7	14.5	-0.75
Carl Landry	53	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	10	-15	16.0	14.2	1.78	13.2	14.6	-1.45
Nik Stauskas	15	15	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	14.1	15.4	-1.33	15.2	13.7	1.53
Ramon Sessions	22	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	12	-19	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Ryan Hollins	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	12	-19	17.7	14.9	2.72	13.6	13.9	-0.30
Omri Casspi	22	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.37	-18	23	-41	14.2	15.5	-1.30	11.5	14.5	-3.00

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	48	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-19	33	12.0	15.6	-3.61	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Damjan Rudez	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.48	13	-18	31	13.9	13.9	-0.07	16.3	14.4	1.94
Luis Scola	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	14.2	13.6	0.59	15.9	14.7	1.16
Roy Hibbert	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	12.9	15.1	-2.18	14.9	15.6	-0.71
CJ Miles	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-8	11	13.1	15.3	-2.21	15.4	14.9	0.48
Rodney Stuckey	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	7	-19	15.3	13.0	2.26	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Solomon Hill	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	9	-23	14.1	13.7	0.34	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Ian Mahinmi	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	7	-19	14.9	13.0	1.81	15.2	15.2	0.09
David West	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	13.6	14.2	-0.59	14.7	15.9	-1.16
CJ Watson	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	13	-31	15.2	12.4	2.78	15.1	15.3	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0	95.7%
GSW 96, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SEA 119, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.3%