NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	3.0 [1173]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +13.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	1.1 [1271]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -10.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	18	45%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	13	69%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	5	92%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	6	74%	0.06	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	7	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	16	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	11	23%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	29.3	15.7	28.1	2.3	24.3	126.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.8%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +16.0%

NYK -6.8%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.1	86.7	108.8	104.2
season	16.1	14.6		98.5	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	16.4	16.6	16.1	16.6
LAC	14.1	16.3	14.7	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-19	17	15.4	17.3	-1.90	16.1	14.7	1.35
Travis Wear	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-16	11	16.7	16.6	0.07	11.7	15.4	-3.64
Pablo Prigioni	57	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-27	33	15.4	18.6	-3.17	15.3	15.1	0.19
Shane Larkin	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-20	19	15.6	17.4	-1.85	15.5	15.0	0.51
Quincy Acy	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-14	7	16.3	16.8	-0.56	15.8	14.9	0.88
Andrea Bargnani	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-23	25	16.0	17.0	-1.06	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Jason Smith	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	-1	-19	16.5	16.7	-0.13	15.8	14.7	1.12
Carmelo Anthony	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-7	-7	17.5	15.2	2.30	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Jose Calderon	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-7	-7	17.5	15.2	2.30	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Cole Aldrich	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	2	-25	17.1	15.6	1.45	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Tim Hardaway Jr.	34	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.24	-27	6	-33	18.2	15.6	2.63	15.3	15.2	0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.19	24	-3	27	15.0	15.5	-0.49	17.2	15.9	1.39
JJ Redick	59	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	1	19	15.6	14.5	1.18	16.9	16.0	0.93
Matt Barnes	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	5	11	15.3	15.1	0.17	17.5	15.2	2.30
Blake Griffin	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	2	17	15.3	15.1	0.16	17.3	14.9	2.36
Chris Paul	51	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	7	7	14.9	15.6	-0.75	17.8	15.1	2.75
Jamal Crawford	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	17	-13	15.6	14.9	0.75	15.7	17.3	-1.62
Jordan Farmar	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	14	-7	15.6	14.9	0.75	15.1	17.8	-2.75
Spencer Hawes	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	28	-35	15.8	14.7	1.06	15.7	17.4	-1.73
Glen Davis	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	20	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.12	15.0	17.1	-2.18
Jared Cunningham	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	12.9	15.5	-2.58	17.0	16.6	0.43
Ekpe Udoh	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	16	-11	11.7	15.4	-3.64	16.7	16.6	0.07
Reggie Bullock	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	22	-23	14.0	15.6	-1.56	15.0	17.1	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 78, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
IND 107, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 84, BKN 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%