NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	7.6 [308]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +22.0%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	3.2 [271]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -19.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.11	0.01	10	80%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.02	20	55%	0.16	0	0.00	18	78%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	52%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,-0.01,0,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.05	-0.11	0.04	17	50%	-0.03	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.02	11	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.13	-0.03	5	71%	0.22	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.01,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.11	-0.04	16	47%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Kenneth Faried	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.13	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	14	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.07	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	26.1	16.8	28.3	1.6	51.9	153.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +42.7%

DEN +16.2%

LAC -9.0%

LAC -3.5%

DEN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.1	15.1	109.3	113.5	104.2
season	14.6	14.6		110.5	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.4	16.0	13.9	12.8	13.7
DEN	15.8	14.6	18.9	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	54	51	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.16	13	-16	29	12.8	14.9	-2.11	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Matt Barnes	71	71	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-15	27	12.1	18.1	-5.94	17.2	13.0	4.23
Blake Griffin	82	83	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.41	18	-21	39	12.6	19.7	-7.02	16.9	11.3	5.57
Chris Paul	78	77	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-16	29	12.8	17.6	-4.78	17.0	12.7	4.22
Hedo Turkoglu	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	22.0	13.6	8.44	10.0	16.3	-6.26
DeAndre Jordan	86	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	0	-3	13.8	13.2	0.62	16.7	12.1	4.62
Chris Douglas-Roberts	21	21	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	12	-27	18.0	12.6	5.45	13.0	17.0	-4.06
Jordan Farmar	19	19	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	13	-29	17.6	12.8	4.78	12.7	17.0	-4.22
Glen Davis	21	21	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	16	-35	17.7	12.6	5.08	12.4	17.2	-4.73
Jamal Crawford	51	51	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.46	-15	12	-27	14.8	12.5	2.34	15.6	16.7	-1.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	30	29	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-10	23	14.6	16.8	-2.17	16.9	12.4	4.56
Alonzo Gee	18	19	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-5	13	13.4	16.8	-3.37	14.2	13.6	0.60
Kenneth Faried	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-6	15	15.3	17.4	-2.08	14.9	12.1	2.73
Timofey Mozgov	50	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-4	11	16.5	15.8	0.70	12.5	15.2	-2.70
Ty Lawson	76	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	4	-5	16.4	15.2	1.11	12.9	17.3	-4.46
Danilo Gallinari	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	0	3	16.8	15.5	1.34	14.1	13.4	0.73
Jusuf Nurkic	34	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-4	11	15.6	16.4	-0.88	16.5	12.4	4.18
Wilson Chandler	73	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.36	-13	16	-29	16.2	16.0	0.16	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Arron Afflalo	66	68	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	13	-23	16.8	14.6	2.17	12.4	16.9	-4.56
JJ Hickson	27	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.11	-8	11	-19	17.9	15.4	2.40	13.0	14.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.78,0.96,0.92,1	90.1%
POR 80, NOK 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.96,1,1	90.1%
CLE 84, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.83,1	89.8%