inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 115 Excitement12.7 [12] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +54.1%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback7.8 [174] LVPTy Lawson (DEN): -29.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.540,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.28,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.44,0.540.120.440.032165%0.794-0.252186%0.13
Donatas Motiejunas0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.06-0.011362%0.242-0.11333%-0.07
Patrick Beverley0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.030.020.020.01950%0.0300.006100%0.09
Joey Dorsey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Canaan-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.011539%0.002-0.05367%-0.01
Tarik Black-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00333%-0.011-0.0600%0.00
Nick Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00642%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15-0.03-0.110.011651%0.164-0.301567%-0.13

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.250.250.140.110.00876%0.2500.00580%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.22,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.190.190.000.15-0.031755%0.314-0.13683%-0.06
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.130.130.100.03-0.001764%0.152-0.022100%0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.02650%0.0600.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alonzo Gee00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00312%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001343%0.032-0.08250%-0.06
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.0030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.080.011242%0.013-0.18250%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.09-0.21-0.011243%-0.114-0.184100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.61.832.816.325.62.541.31.520.5169.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +28.1%
HOU +28.4%
DEN -9.0%
DEN -13.9%
HOU +16.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game14.114.315.1101.8100.0104.2
season14.314.6105.6103.4
opponent15.314.9106.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU14.813.217.212.811.814.1
DEN13.414.017.013.414.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard92900.92-0.411.330.4217-133013.417.0-3.6014.911.93.04
Trevor Ariza99980.83-0.331.150.3915-112613.517.9-4.4014.512.91.59
James Harden94930.69-0.190.880.3412-82014.213.50.6514.613.11.51
Patrick Beverley100980.59-0.090.680.339-51414.014.8-0.7914.314.20.11
Nick Johnson39380.110.39-0.290.49-1317-3013.114.6-1.5212.815.1-2.25
Donatas Motiejunas88870.110.39-0.29-0.045-1614.014.2-0.1714.413.90.52
Joey Dorsey220.020.48-0.46-0.0113-220.014.06.043.014.5-11.53
Isaiah Canaan1312-0.200.70-0.910.03-812-2017.013.73.3111.414.7-3.26
Tarik Black3837-0.551.05-1.60-0.02-1822-4016.912.74.2214.614.20.41

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic32350.56-1.061.620.0617-213813.814.5-0.7615.813.32.55
Ty Lawson88870.11-0.610.730.110-4414.414.20.1314.313.21.19
Alonzo Gee21-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-443.014.5-11.5326.014.012.04
JJ Hickson4242-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-91414.314.3-0.0615.213.41.74
Darrell Arthur6063-0.09-0.410.32-0.3810-142413.415.5-2.0813.914.3-0.41
Nate Robinson1214-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-4414.114.4-0.2714.414.00.33
Timofey Mozgov3837-0.24-0.260.020.02-95-1415.913.52.4314.713.80.94
Danilo Gallinari5657-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-1-214.314.3-0.0413.714.5-0.82
Kenneth Faried7072-0.39-0.11-0.290.02-1410-2414.314.4-0.0713.415.3-1.92
Arron Afflalo7072-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.44-1-3214.514.10.3614.114.1-0.00
Wilson Chandler7473-0.930.43-1.35-0.31-2117-3814.813.51.3013.315.5-2.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.55,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 93, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.42,088.5%
NYK 118, WAS 1160.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.15,087.4%
DET 94, WAS 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.63,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.08,087.1%