inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 105 Excitement6.2 [575] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +28.4%
Atlanta Hawks 109 Comeback22.4 [128] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -25.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.140,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.140.140.010.011669%0.172-0.034100%0.04
Avery Bradley0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.000.041364%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Tyler Zeller0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.030.01462%0.071-0.02580%0.00
Marcus Thornton0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00757%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Jared Sullinger0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.020.11-0.040.041669%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Evan Turner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.040.02786%0.103-0.1100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03440%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Gerald Wallace-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.0000%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.08-0.02933%-0.062-0.0800%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.260,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.24-0.08-0.06812%-0.097-0.1700%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.240.080.049120%0.322-0.042100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.160.160.080.090.013117%0.1600.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.070.041362%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.090.09-0.020.09-0.011252%0.173-0.08560%-0.02
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02671%0.071-0.042100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.041554%0.062-0.075100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00950%-0.004-0.0700%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.070.00831%-0.093-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.526.914.826.31.631.8126.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +38.5%
BOS -5.3%
BOS -10.7%
ATL +27.7%
BOS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game13.914.515.1104.0106.9104.2
season14.314.9103.1106.7
opponent15.415.4101.8103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.910.015.316.213.9
ATL14.514.814.014.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Zeller49500.03-0.530.56-0.177-111814.913.01.9614.414.5-0.12
Avery Bradley6464-0.10-0.400.30-0.245-91412.915.6-2.7414.514.5-0.02
Brandon Bass3737-0.12-0.380.250.02-51-613.714.0-0.3715.314.01.27
Gerald Wallace2727-0.23-0.270.04-0.09-51-613.414.1-0.6413.614.8-1.18
Kelly Olynyk4343-0.25-0.25-0.010.01-95-1413.314.4-1.0614.414.5-0.03
Jeff Green7474-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-4413.913.9-0.0214.813.61.23
Rajon Rondo7375-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.414-81213.315.5-2.2514.514.5-0.03
Marcus Thornton3132-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-95-1415.913.02.9213.814.8-0.94
Jared Sullinger6465-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.411-5614.013.70.3714.015.3-1.27
Evan Turner4343-0.530.03-0.55-0.26-95-1414.813.31.4915.014.10.97

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll74730.72-0.220.930.2815-112614.414.7-0.3015.011.04.03
Dennis Schroder46450.62-0.120.740.5040415.014.00.9815.013.02.04
Paul Millsap79790.60-0.100.690.339-51414.414.7-0.3614.312.61.69
Kent Bazemore21190.440.060.380.237-31012.814.9-2.1414.513.80.69
Pero Antic41410.380.120.25-0.1217-133014.014.7-0.6915.213.02.16
Al Horford68670.270.230.030.44-610-1614.913.51.4013.514.6-1.11
Kyle Korver77790.200.30-0.090.1231214.913.01.9913.714.6-0.87
Jeff Teague5656-0.120.62-0.74-0.1204-414.015.0-0.9813.015.0-2.04
Shelvin Mack1514-0.140.64-0.780.04-610-1614.614.40.1612.914.1-1.22
Thabo Sefolosha1717-0.220.72-0.940.10-1115-2614.614.40.1510.214.7-4.42
Mike Scott1615-0.240.74-0.980.11-1216-2813.914.6-0.6210.114.6-4.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.24,0.21,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 95, IND 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,192.0%
PHI 95, CLE 1060.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,192.0%
HOU 89, MIA 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,191.9%