NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	8.2 [222]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +30.9%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	2.1 [560]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (DAL): -21.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.31,0.31	0.04	0.27	-0.00	8	64%	0.37	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Brandan Wright	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	7	87%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.00	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	12	46%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.04	0.08	-0.09	0.03	21	61%	0.07	4	-0.11	14	86%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	12	21%	-0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	5	60%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	12	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.07	0.00	10	77%	0.14	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.19	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	43%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	17	31%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	28.2	15.6	24.7	1.7	33.3	133.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +10.7%

DAL +14.5%

WAS -1.6%

DAL +25.0%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.1	108.2	104.1	104.2
season	14.6	15.1		107.6	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.3	16.6	16.6	17.2	15.5
WAS	13.9	14.7	12.2	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	69	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-8	19	16.1	14.0	2.09	13.9	14.3	-0.35
Dirk Nowitzki	56	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	15.3	15.9	-0.61	13.9	14.2	-0.35
Monta Ellis	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-3	9	14.7	19.0	-4.27	13.0	19.1	-6.17
Jose Juan Barea	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	16.6	14.7	1.89	15.8	12.6	3.24
Chandler Parsons	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.45	-2	5	-7	16.4	12.8	3.60	13.8	14.8	-1.05
Jameer Nelson	55	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	14.7	16.6	-1.89	12.8	15.5	-2.73
Richard Jefferson	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-1	5	10.2	16.1	-5.94	16.7	13.7	2.98
Al-Farouq Aminu	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	15.9	15.4	0.54	15.4	13.5	1.91
Greg Smith	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	10.8	15.8	-5.00	15.0	13.9	1.05
Jae Crowder	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	17.4	15.0	2.42	17.3	13.2	4.09
Brandan Wright	48	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	12	-21	15.6	15.4	0.20	13.5	14.5	-0.98

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	24	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-6	9	16.5	13.2	3.34	17.2	15.0	2.29
Garrett Temple	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	12.7	14.6	-1.84	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Rasual Butler	13	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-5	7	12.4	14.3	-1.89	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Kris Humphries	42	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	1	-5	16.2	12.4	3.76	15.0	15.9	-0.81
Otto Porter	47	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	16.6	11.7	4.87	16.2	15.0	1.17
Nene	68	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-10	17	13.2	15.8	-2.56	16.2	13.7	2.50
Kevin Seraphin	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	2	-7	17.2	13.3	3.96	18.3	14.9	3.40
Bradley Beal	52	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.3	1.35	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	66	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	12.7	16.7	-3.96	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Paul Pierce	56	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	12.1	16.5	-4.38	15.1	16.1	-0.95
John Wall	74	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	3	-9	13.2	16.5	-3.34	15.0	17.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.61,0.54,0.15,0.08,0	91.2%
POR 88, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0	90.8%
NOH 91, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.54,0.55,0.3,0.34,0.04,0	90.8%