NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	7.0 [418]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +22.8%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.1 [309]		LVP	Pero Antic (ATL): -15.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.12	0.07	-0.03	10	68%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	18	68%	0.28	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	14	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	7	88%	0.12	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.02	0.05	0.02	17	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	16	72%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	6	57%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.00	8	94%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.06	0.03	14	68%	0.09	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	9	22%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	22.4	15.4	21.5	1.7	37.5	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.1%

ATL -20.8%

LAL +16.0%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.1	122.6	114.7	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		101.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.7		101.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	16.0	15.7	17.6	15.9
ATL	15.6	14.6	15.6	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	72	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-6	17	15.4	17.9	-2.47	14.6	15.2	-0.68
Ed Davis	45	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-8	21	15.5	16.4	-0.84	15.1	14.4	0.75
Nick Young	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Jordan Hill	59	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	0	5	15.7	16.4	-0.78	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Ronnie Price	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	3	-1	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Jeremy Lin	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	4	-3	16.1	15.6	0.51	15.3	13.7	1.58
Carlos Boozer	54	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	9	-13	17.0	14.5	2.42	14.8	14.6	0.14
Wesley Johnson	60	64	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	8	-11	16.8	14.4	2.41	14.9	14.3	0.57
Robert Sacre	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	9	-13	16.2	15.9	0.29	15.0	14.6	0.45

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-13	21	14.4	15.2	-0.83	16.9	14.4	2.43
Shelvin Mack	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-6	7	14.3	15.0	-0.61	16.6	15.5	1.06
Mike Scott	32	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.4	14.3	1.10	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Dennis Schroder	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-4	3	14.8	14.7	0.14	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Kent Bazemore	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.12	-11	6	-17	13.4	14.9	-1.53	11.1	16.7	-5.66
Thabo Sefolosha	60	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	15.0	14.1	0.94	16.6	14.8	1.79
Jeff Teague	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.14	16.0	15.9	0.10
Kyle Korver	76	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	15.0	13.4	1.67	16.2	15.1	1.10
Paul Millsap	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-3	1	14.3	15.4	-1.10	16.4	14.9	1.54
Pero Antic	35	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.6	0.15	14.0	17.2	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0	93.5%
SAS 112, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	92.7%
SAC 98, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.5%