inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 107 Excitement2.2 [1272] MVPChandler Parsons (DAL): +12.4%
Charlotte Hornets 80 Comeback1.3 [837] LVPAl Jefferson (CHA): -5.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0.120,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.000.021071%0.1200.00475%-0.01
Tyson Chandler0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.000.037100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04692%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.002100%0.00
Brandan Wright0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.01756%0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.021446%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Monta Ellis0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.041745%0.021-0.01667%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02667%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.011055%0.0300.0000%0.00
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02667%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.071462%0.0110.001100%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01855%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03460%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01737%-0.001-0.0020%-0.02
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00350%-0.011-0.0020%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01629%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.130.00-0.0840%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.140.00-0.091225%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.428.215.426.31.825.2123.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.3%
DAL +2.4%
DAL +4.5%
DAL +4.1%
DAL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCHANBADALCHANBA
this game16.016.515.1121.689.9104.2
season14.615.6107.698.9
opponent15.115.0102.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.714.517.716.216.0
CHA15.018.215.717.316.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis55560.390.110.28-0.282341915.916.3-0.3816.316.8-0.54
Chandler Parsons59610.380.120.27-0.262251714.918.3-3.4516.616.30.27
Jameer Nelson47460.320.180.14-0.241981115.616.5-0.8516.216.9-0.73
Dirk Nowitzki47470.310.190.12-0.251981117.214.72.5315.317.8-2.47
Al-Farouq Aminu55540.300.200.10-0.201710715.716.5-0.8217.315.31.92
Tyson Chandler44440.290.210.07-0.101314-115.416.7-1.3017.215.81.34
Brandan Wright31320.220.28-0.06-0.221512316.615.70.8915.417.1-1.77
Devin Harris19200.180.32-0.15-0.03720-1316.016.0-0.0416.316.6-0.20
Jose Juan Barea34340.110.39-0.28-0.04522-1716.715.61.1416.916.30.66
Jae Crowder21220.000.50-0.490.00027-2716.216.00.2117.316.31.02
Greg Smith15160.000.50-0.500.06-229-3117.515.71.8117.116.40.76
Charlie Villanueva13130.000.50-0.500.09-330-3317.315.81.4916.916.40.49

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Noah Vonleh12120.00-0.500.500.000-272716.416.5-0.1016.116.00.06
Jason Maxiell12120.00-0.500.500.000-272716.416.5-0.1016.116.00.06
Cody Zeller4140-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-201316.116.8-0.6716.615.61.04
Bismack Biyombo2928-0.17-0.330.160.18-12-15316.616.50.1217.315.41.89
Jannero Pargo3432-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-211515.916.9-0.9616.515.80.73
PJ Hairston1718-0.19-0.310.110.22-14-13-118.416.12.3614.116.5-2.42
Brian Roberts3534-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-17717.615.81.8016.415.80.62
Gerald Henderson6968-0.29-0.21-0.070.12-14-13-116.416.7-0.3216.315.01.27
Kemba Walker5555-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-18-9-915.917.6-1.7016.115.90.15
Lance Stephenson5757-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-8-1116.316.8-0.4815.816.5-0.79
Al Jefferson4848-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-12-316.516.5-0.0615.316.9-1.68
Marvin Williams3636-0.34-0.16-0.170.25-20-7-1316.916.20.7415.416.5-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 108, SAC 630.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.6%
OKC 118, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
BOS 115, LAL 950.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%