NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	7.1 [395]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +34.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	3.5 [543]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -25.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.28	0.04	0.06	19	80%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.02	21	59%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	12	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jimmer Fredette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.00	14	20%	-0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.17	0.19	0.01	13	79%	0.38	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.16	0.04	21	65%	0.32	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.05	-0.02	17	63%	0.25	4	-0.09	17	76%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alex Kirk	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Cherry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	26.7	15.0	27.3	1.6	35.2	129.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.0%

CLE +3.1%

CLE +2.5%

NOP -7.4%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.1	118.1	126.9	104.2
season	15.8	15.9		106.3	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		104.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.3	16.4	17.0	12.6	15.3
CLE	16.0	15.6	13.6	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-10	13	16.7	14.9	1.77	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Austin Rivers	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-10	13	14.5	16.0	-1.50	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Omer Asik	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.9	13.4	3.44	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Jrue Holiday	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-8	9	14.7	17.4	-2.74	15.8	14.4	1.39
Jimmer Fredette	22	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	1	-9	17.4	14.7	2.74	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Tyreke Evans	57	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	3	-13	16.0	14.3	1.67	15.9	14.9	0.96
Anthony Davis	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.8	17.9	-3.17	15.8	14.1	1.73
Eric Gordon	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	2	-11	14.9	16.2	-1.32	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Ryan Anderson	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-4	1	14.7	16.8	-2.10	15.9	14.4	1.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	41	41	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.22	18	-11	29	14.3	16.4	-2.11	14.9	15.6	-0.76
LeBron James	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-8	23	15.2	16.9	-1.67	15.6	13.7	1.87
Tristan Thompson	50	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	4	-1	16.1	14.8	1.27	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Kyrie Irving	81	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	6	-5	15.9	13.0	2.86	15.1	16.3	-1.14
Shawn Marion	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	1	5	15.6	15.4	0.22	15.7	14.7	0.95
Kevin Love	73	75	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	16.1	13.3	2.80	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Anderson Varejao	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	4	-1	15.0	15.9	-0.95	16.0	14.7	1.27
Will Cherry	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	11.6	15.8	-4.24	16.5	15.2	1.30
Alex Kirk	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	0.0	15.7	-15.66	3.0	15.4	-12.44
Mike Miller	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	19	-31	15.8	15.3	0.53	14.5	15.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
DET 93, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%
LAC 86, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.4%