NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	7.8 [281]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +50.4%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.8 [340]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -32.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.47	0.06	0.37	-0.04	17	64%	0.59	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	16	53%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.5	0.50	0.16	0.39	0.04	8	84%	0.50	0	0.00	3	100%	0.18
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	18	67%	0.15	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	65%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	42%	-0.00	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.33	-0.33	-0.01	-0.31	0.01	13	44%	-0.33	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.4	26.4	15.3	28.5	2.5	33.5	128.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +107.6%

SAS -42.2%

SAS -43.0%

NOP +20.6%

NOP +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.1	105.3	102.1	104.2
season	15.8	15.4		106.3	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.2		101.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.4	15.4	13.4	17.5	15.3
SAS	13.4	15.9	15.4	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	45	50	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.70	4	-3	7	15.9	14.8	1.07	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Anthony Davis	72	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	0	1	15.2	15.9	-0.75	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Eric Gordon	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	1	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Tyreke Evans	76	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.47	-5	6	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.16	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Jrue Holiday	71	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.43	-4	5	-9	15.4	15.3	0.02	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Austin Rivers	33	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-9	19	14.6	15.7	-1.09	15.1	14.4	0.70
Jimmer Fredette	20	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-3	7	15.4	15.3	0.13	14.8	14.6	0.24
Alexis Ajinca	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	16.1	15.2	0.94	14.8	14.6	0.14
John Salmons	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	3	-5	18.8	14.9	3.86	15.7	14.5	1.16
Omer Asik	55	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.19	-3	4	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.3	14.0	1.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-2	3	17.0	14.6	2.36	28.0	15.2	12.79
Tim Duncan	67	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	0	-1	14.3	15.5	-1.17	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Danny Green	69	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-2	3	14.5	15.1	-0.68	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Manu Ginobili	55	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-3	5	13.9	15.7	-1.86	14.4	16.6	-2.16
Kawhi Leonard	71	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-3	5	15.1	13.5	1.53	16.1	13.3	2.81
Austin Daye	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	7	-15	15.1	14.5	0.68	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Boris Diaw	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-6	11	14.2	15.6	-1.48	15.6	14.8	0.85
Aron Baynes	31	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-2	3	16.3	13.9	2.44	15.8	15.1	0.67
Tony Parker	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	2	-5	14.8	14.3	0.48	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Cory Joseph	30	29	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	4	-9	14.9	14.5	0.40	15.6	15.2	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 100, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.9%
LAC 99, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0	93.8%