NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	12.6 [14]		MVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): +26.9%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	18.2 [44]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -71.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.21	0.01	9	68%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Carl Landry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	60%	0.33	2	-0.31	14	93%	0.11
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	42%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35	-0.02	-0.33	0.00	13	50%	-0.30	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.15
Rudy Gay	-0.71	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.43,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.6,-0.66,-0.77,-0.77,-0.61,-0.71	-0.23	-0.47	0.01	22	25%	-0.51	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	52%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.02	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.10	-0.00	11	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.01	12	58%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	4	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.09,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	19	51%	0.10	5	-0.31	7	57%	-0.10
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.38	-0.38	-0.04	-0.33	0.01	12	35%	-0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	30.5	15.6	28.0	1.8	34.5	1.8	13.0	1.6	11.2	166.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +3.1%

SAC +21.2%

SAC +45.4%

PHX -15.6%

PHX -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.1	103.6	101.8	104.2
season	14.9	14.4		103.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		104.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	17.2	15.0	16.4	15.8	16.7	16.2
PHX	13.5	15.0	12.9	17.6	19.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	67	69	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.44	19	-17	36	15.8	16.8	-1.03	16.3	14.0	2.35
Darren Collison	61	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	-1	4	16.6	15.8	0.82	16.5	14.2	2.22
Rudy Gay	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.54	-4	6	-10	16.4	15.2	1.17	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Ben McLemore	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.56	-12	14	-26	17.3	15.1	2.16	15.6	15.2	0.38
DeMarcus Cousins	67	66	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	0	2	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Nik Stauskas	55	56	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.27	14	-12	26	15.1	17.3	-2.16	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Omri Casspi	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-4	10	15.2	16.4	-1.17	16.3	15.2	1.12
Derrick Williams	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	0.0	16.2	-16.21	6.0	15.5	-9.51
Reggie Evans	23	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	0	2	14.7	16.6	-1.91	13.9	15.9	-1.95
Ramon Sessions	49	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	3	-4	15.8	16.6	-0.82	14.2	16.5	-2.22
Jason Thompson	63	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.43	-19	21	-40	16.7	15.6	1.15	15.5	15.4	0.14

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	59	62	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-8	14	14.9	16.0	-1.07	16.7	15.5	1.18
Isaiah Thomas	35	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Shavlik Randolph	19	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.58	13.2	16.8	-3.52
Miles Plumlee	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-10	18	16.1	14.1	1.96	16.6	15.3	1.35
Gerald Green	30	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	9	-20	14.9	15.6	-0.77	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Alex Len	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	8	-18	14.3	15.7	-1.32	16.3	16.2	0.09
Goran Dragic	89	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.57	9	-11	20	15.1	16.7	-1.59	16.3	15.9	0.43
Marcus Morris	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.62	8	-10	18	15.1	16.3	-1.29	16.5	15.6	0.88
PJ Tucker	72	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	8	-18	15.6	15.1	0.49	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Eric Bledsoe	74	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	0	-2	16.7	12.7	4.02	16.5	15.6	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.52,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.75,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.85,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	86.0%
MIN 116, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0	85.9%
LAL 116, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.17,0	85.7%