inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Excitement6.5 [516] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +19.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 106 Comeback2.9 [728] LVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): -15.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0.180,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.02-0.022656%0.262-0.081694%0.06
Lance Thomas0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.011070%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02518%-0.0400.0010%-0.02
Andre Roberson-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.030.01475%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Steven Adams-0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.03473%0.034-0.10367%0.01
Sebastian Telfair-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.03-0.04920%-0.0700.002100%0.00
Perry Jones-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.03-0.03915%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.06-0.021142%-0.015-0.14250%-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.200.080.091285%0.1900.00250%-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.011959%0.152-0.05875%-0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.07-0.011045%0.101-0.032100%0.02
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.001257%0.112-0.054100%0.02
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.02-0.021060%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.001142%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00410%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.05-0.04425%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.033.316.428.63.328.6140.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +32.4%
OKC -0.3%
POR +3.2%
POR +15.9%
OKC -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPORNBAOKCPORNBA
this game16.116.115.1100.0117.8104.2
season14.515.3105.7106.5
opponent15.015.0102.7103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.213.017.018.416.1
POR13.818.814.317.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Perry Jones56580.12-0.620.750.072-192115.117.8-2.7616.714.91.85
Steven Adams4949-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-13915.217.3-2.1117.314.62.77
Russell Westbrook6361-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-13915.018.7-3.7016.714.81.88
Serge Ibaka5351-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-141115.716.7-0.9817.414.33.15
Nick Collison3639-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-3-1116.715.70.9814.317.4-3.15
Andre Roberson6466-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-3-1115.817.0-1.1816.714.42.25
Sebastian Telfair2629-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.04-13-4-918.715.03.7014.816.7-1.88
Kendrick Perkins3939-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-10-7-317.415.12.2614.417.3-2.92
Lance Thomas5958-0.740.24-0.97-0.00-258-3317.413.63.7914.818.4-3.63

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez59590.410.090.310.06125717.014.32.7116.315.80.47
Chris Kaman39390.400.100.290.07116516.615.61.0116.815.61.21
Steve Blake41390.380.120.26-0.00134914.817.2-2.4116.515.80.76
CJ McCollum29280.380.120.25-0.00134914.516.8-2.2918.215.13.07
Damian Lillard52530.340.160.190.0898117.214.42.8016.515.51.03
Nicolas Batum66650.180.32-0.15-0.03710-316.116.00.0915.517.7-2.24
LaMarcus Aldridge67660.170.33-0.16-0.00611-515.019.1-4.0615.617.7-2.08
Wesley Matthews64640.120.38-0.250.04314-1116.614.71.8815.717.1-1.40
Dorell Wright10100.100.40-0.29-0.01413-913.216.4-3.2315.716.2-0.46
Joel Freeland11100.020.48-0.45-0.09413-914.016.4-2.3517.515.91.56
Allen Crabbe440.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1519.715.93.8512.516.3-3.78
Thomas Robinson440.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1519.715.93.8512.516.3-3.78
Will Barton440.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1519.715.93.8512.516.3-3.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 93, CHH 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.95,193.1%
LAC 97, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,192.8%
BOS 90, IND 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.29,0.34,0.51,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,192.6%