inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement8.3 [196] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +45.1%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback3.8 [443] LVPChandler Parsons (DAL): -38.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.260,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.260.090.170.011169%0.301-0.044100%0.03
Devin Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.001261%0.131-0.04475%-0.00
Brandan Wright0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.002100%0.0800.002100%0.02
Jae Crowder0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.002100%0.061-0.031100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.05-0.00764%0.0100.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.010.04-0.020.002157%0.243-0.22475%0.04
Tyson Chandler0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01850%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Greg Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00360%0.031-0.04475%-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chandler Parsons-0.380,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.38-0.09-0.290.001025%-0.361-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.45,0.450.450.170.28-0.001572%0.501-0.05250%-0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.190.190.050.140.001361%0.293-0.10786%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00487%0.1000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.01883%0.162-0.072100%0.02
Danny Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00972%0.153-0.0900%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00367%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.100.011056%0.015-0.15580%-0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.060.00642%-0.014-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.03.028.317.330.63.534.1138.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +77.9%
DAL -8.4%
DAL -2.7%
DAL -25.6%
SAS +8.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game16.217.015.1113.6117.4104.2
season14.615.4107.6106.9
opponent14.915.0101.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.316.316.515.616.2
SAS14.418.917.917.117.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandan Wright34320.07-0.570.64-0.116-71315.016.9-1.8917.416.70.72
Greg Smith340.05-0.550.610.021-2317.716.11.5617.017.00.05
Al-Farouq Aminu12110.02-0.520.540.020-1115.516.3-0.7613.517.5-4.01
Jameer Nelson5454-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-4716.415.80.5917.516.01.57
Richard Jefferson2224-0.17-0.330.16-0.201-2316.016.2-0.1518.916.22.72
Monta Ellis6866-0.24-0.260.02-0.364-5915.817.2-1.4117.315.91.37
Jae Crowder2221-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-87-1515.816.3-0.4515.617.4-1.83
Chandler Parsons6159-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.320-1116.315.70.6017.216.30.90
Devin Harris5551-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.42-21-316.016.4-0.3317.116.80.31
Dirk Nowitzki5858-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.44-21-316.615.41.1516.018.9-2.93
Tyson Chandler5150-0.620.12-0.75-0.39-87-1516.815.21.6316.717.4-0.70

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli57570.430.070.370.0513-122516.517.9-1.3716.315.90.40
Manu Ginobili48490.340.160.180.52-67-1317.915.72.2316.216.10.10
Boris Diaw59600.310.190.120.46-56-1117.815.22.5815.816.9-1.08
Aron Baynes34330.290.210.090.213-2516.417.3-0.9915.816.3-0.50
Danny Green62650.290.210.090.41-45-916.119.1-2.9515.817.3-1.55
Cory Joseph30300.260.240.010.086-51117.316.80.5316.615.90.72
Tim Duncan52550.210.29-0.090.26-23-517.316.40.9916.315.80.50
Matt Bonner27280.190.31-0.120.016-51115.217.8-2.5816.915.81.08
Tony Parker61630.180.32-0.150.35-67-1317.316.21.1216.216.10.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 91, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.58,191.9%
IND 98, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,191.3%
NJN 104, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.96,191.0%