NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	96		Excitement	6.2 [574]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NOP): +36.6%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	2.0 [665]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -27.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.37	0.25	0.13	0.01	11	93%	0.37	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	3	78%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	4	8%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Tyreke Evans	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	11	32%	-0.06	7	-0.21	3	67%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.13	-0.02	9	68%	0.27	1	-0.00	13	100%	0.08
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.17	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	9	52%	0.03	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	28.2	15.4	25.8	1.7	38.5	134.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.4%

UTA +12.5%

NOP -5.2%

UTA +10.5%

UTA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.1	104.3	107.5	105.2
season	15.5	16.2		105.6	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.3		109.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	16.3	20.6	15.0	16.3
UTA	15.4	14.4	14.7	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	29	28	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.07	9	-13	22	16.1	16.3	-0.23	16.1	14.3	1.80
Jeff Withey	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-13	22	16.0	16.4	-0.41	16.5	14.0	2.58
Darius Miller	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-3	2	15.2	17.2	-1.97	13.4	16.1	-2.78
Luke Babbitt	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-2	0	17.4	15.9	1.46	16.4	14.5	2.00
Greg Stiemsma	50	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-6	8	15.9	16.7	-0.83	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Alexis Ajinca	20	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	3	-10	16.4	16.2	0.18	15.9	14.6	1.26
Anthony Davis	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-3	2	16.4	16.2	0.19	15.2	14.6	0.70
Al-Farouq Aminu	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	7	-18	17.7	14.8	2.83	15.7	14.1	1.65
Tyreke Evans	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	15.6	17.5	-1.91	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Anthony Morrow	55	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	16.7	15.6	1.02	15.3	14.2	1.05
Brian Roberts	60	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	4	-12	16.3	16.2	0.02	14.0	16.6	-2.61

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	65	62	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-6	16	14.4	15.9	-1.45	16.7	15.3	1.38
Gordon Hayward	74	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-5	14	14.4	16.9	-2.60	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Derrick Favors	64	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-8	20	14.2	16.5	-2.33	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Marvin Williams	47	44	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-9	22	14.8	15.0	-0.23	16.5	16.0	0.46
Alec Burks	52	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	16.0	13.4	2.58	16.2	16.4	-0.18
Richard Jefferson	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-3	10	13.4	15.9	-2.56	16.9	15.8	1.04
Enes Kanter	46	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	13	-22	15.0	14.8	0.23	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Jeremy Evans	29	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	12	-20	16.5	14.2	2.33	16.3	16.2	0.04
Diante Garrett	26	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	7	-10	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Ian Clark	24	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	15	-26	16.9	14.2	2.74	15.5	16.6	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MIN 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.8%
VAN 77, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.83,1	93.6%