NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	10.3 [67]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +43.3%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	157.7 [5]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -23.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.23	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23	0.06	0.17	-0.01	12	63%	0.34	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Drew Gooden	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	10	82%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	6	69%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	27%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0.02,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	23	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
John Wall	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.19	-0.05	12	47%	0.01	5	-0.24	6	33%	-0.14

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.25,0.43	0.43	0.02	0.42	0.01	17	62%	0.62	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	6	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	57%	0.12	4	-0.13	10	100%	0.07
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.11	4	-0.13	11	55%	-0.07
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	17	32%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	34.4	15.6	27.2	1.6	35.5	1.7	15.0	156.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -3.0%

SAC +23.2%

SAC +34.6%

WAS -8.3%

SAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.1	100.9	107.3	105.2
season	15.1	15.4		103.8	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.5		107.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.9	13.4	15.2	17.6	9.8	14.6
SAC	13.9	15.5	14.2	13.7	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	50	49	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.10	3	-7	10	14.6	14.6	-0.07	14.5	14.3	0.16
Chris Singleton	4	2	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-9	14	7.7	14.9	-7.13	21.5	14.3	7.21
Drew Gooden	45	44	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.19	-2	-2	0	15.6	13.9	1.74	14.3	14.5	-0.14
Trevor Booker	56	56	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.02	3	-7	10	14.7	14.5	0.20	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Al Harrington	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	-1	-2	16.5	14.0	2.52	15.4	14.1	1.36
Andre Miller	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.17	-5	1	-6	15.2	14.3	0.91	13.8	14.7	-0.90
Garrett Temple	5	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-7	10	7.2	15.0	-7.77	18.0	14.3	3.68
John Wall	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-5	6	14.3	15.2	-0.91	14.7	13.8	0.90
Marcin Gortat	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.55	0	-4	4	14.4	15.2	-0.76	14.6	13.9	0.69
Bradley Beal	86	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	2	-8	15.3	12.1	3.19	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	78	80	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.42	-15	11	-26	14.4	15.2	-0.89	13.9	16.0	-2.10

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	78	78	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-14	32	13.9	15.6	-1.66	15.2	13.3	1.84
Isaiah Thomas	89	90	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	14.1	16.0	-1.99	14.5	15.0	-0.47
DeMarcus Cousins	61	62	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-7	18	14.2	14.7	-0.59	15.4	13.6	1.87
Ben McLemore	104	105	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	1	2	14.5	13.6	0.86	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Derrick Williams	54	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	4	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.9	14.3	0.64
Reggie Evans	51	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	14.4	14.4	-0.02	14.7	14.5	0.15
Jason Thompson	48	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	11	-18	14.7	14.2	0.59	13.6	15.4	-1.87
Ray McCallum	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.08	-7	11	-18	15.6	14.1	1.48	15.3	14.4	0.91
Quincy Acy	23	23	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.11	-8	12	-20	15.7	14.1	1.67	14.4	14.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.95,1	90.4%
TOR 100, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,1	88.5%
MIL 101, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.9,0.78,0.98,1	88.2%