NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	6.3 [572]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +17.0%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.7 [791]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -15.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.05	0.04	16	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Chase Budinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	12	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.11	0.01	-0.08	0.04	4	67%	-0.00	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	18	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.07	0.01	14	75%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	46%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.07	0.02	16	57%	0.06	2	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	11	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	29.3	15.7	26.0	1.8	35.0	133.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +7.1%

MIN +11.5%

MIN +12.9%

MIN +18.4%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.1	111.3	99.0	105.2
season	14.6	15.4		107.3	104.5
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	15.7	13.5	14.2	14.2
SAC	14.8	15.6	17.8	13.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-8	27	14.2	14.0	0.19	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Kevin Martin	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-9	29	14.0	14.6	-0.60	14.9	16.4	-1.43
Corey Brewer	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-9	29	14.0	14.6	-0.60	14.9	16.4	-1.43
Nikola Pekovic	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-7	25	14.0	14.4	-0.41	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Ricky Rubio	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-2	15	14.1	14.5	-0.38	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Jose Juan Barea	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	13	-15	14.5	14.1	0.38	15.6	15.2	0.40
Dante Cunningham	51	52	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	19	-27	14.6	13.7	0.95	15.6	15.1	0.47
Luc Mbah a Moute	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	18	-25	12.1	14.4	-2.26	16.3	15.2	1.10
Shabazz Muhammad	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	20	-29	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.4	14.9	1.43
Chase Budinger	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	20	-29	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.4	14.9	1.43

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	43	41	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-21	31	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.6	13.9	0.72
Reggie Evans	28	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-16	21	16.9	14.7	2.18	14.1	14.2	-0.16
Ray McCallum	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-13	15	15.5	15.1	0.38	14.8	13.4	1.35
Quincy Acy	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	17.3	14.5	2.88	13.7	14.4	-0.77
Orlando Johnson	25	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	17.6	14.6	3.04	13.1	14.5	-1.40
Ben McLemore	45	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	14.3	16.2	-1.90	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	14.3	17.6	-3.26	14.3	13.9	0.48
DeMarcus Cousins	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	0	-11	14.7	16.7	-1.96	14.6	13.4	1.19
Isaiah Thomas	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	2	-15	15.1	16.0	-0.98	14.3	14.0	0.23
Jason Thompson	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	10	-31	15.0	15.8	-0.85	13.6	15.1	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHH 98, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.6%
NOH 122, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%