inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 107 Excitement8.7 [164] MVPKyle Singler (DET): +35.5%
Detroit Pistons 115 Comeback5.6 [354] LVPJosh Smith (DET): -26.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Scott0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.210.090.11-0.021662%0.231-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.160.090.070.011561%0.191-0.03875%0.03
Louis Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.03-0.001258%0.0400.002100%0.02
Elton Brand-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.03-0.01839%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Cartier Martin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01460%0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Kyle Korver-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.001050%0.073-0.13250%-0.01
Shelvin Mack-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.070.07-0.120.011658%-0.041-0.02475%0.01
DeMarre Carroll-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01729%-0.042-0.0500%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.33,0.350.350.180.230.051183%0.3500.002100%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.030.021167%0.1400.0080%-0.25
Greg Monroe0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.08-0.011755%0.192-0.06633%-0.07
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.07-0.011240%0.091-0.02667%-0.02
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.02275%0.101-0.0600%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001050%0.061-0.03450%-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00760%0.082-0.101100%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.06-0.20-0.001747%-0.134-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.428.617.427.52.735.3137.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +51.6%
ATL -12.9%
DET +18.7%
ATL -8.4%
DET +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game15.815.315.1115.1125.0105.2
season14.815.0103.8104.7
opponent15.015.3108.4104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.615.217.114.415.8
DET14.718.413.515.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin37350.11-0.610.72-0.076-142015.915.80.0815.815.00.78
DeMarre Carroll4444-0.25-0.250.010.05-102-1216.914.82.0716.314.41.92
Shelvin Mack7373-0.25-0.250.00-0.19-2-6415.915.40.4715.315.4-0.07
Elton Brand5150-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-113-1417.014.42.6615.115.5-0.43
Mike Scott6058-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-101214.917.5-2.5815.415.10.36
Kyle Korver7574-0.510.01-0.52-0.31-7-1-615.417.7-2.2914.917.2-2.30
Louis Williams5656-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-6-2-415.116.9-1.7815.315.30.02
Paul Millsap6970-0.550.05-0.59-0.19-124-1616.015.40.5415.016.5-1.50

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Singler66660.72-0.220.940.2516-82414.716.9-2.2415.915.60.37
Greg Monroe76760.61-0.110.720.2014-62015.215.9-0.7515.815.80.06
Josh Smith72730.53-0.030.570.1513-51814.817.2-2.4116.314.12.12
Rodney Stuckey56570.390.110.280.3908-815.215.4-0.2114.917.2-2.25
Will Bynum43430.280.220.050.2808-816.314.41.9415.216.3-1.09
Brandon Jennings55570.170.33-0.17-0.0780814.915.9-0.9216.315.01.33
Andre Drummond64630.040.46-0.420.0408-815.714.31.4316.314.91.35
Jonas Jerebko2224-0.100.60-0.700.02-412-1616.415.01.3814.516.3-1.83
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope66-0.140.64-0.780.07-715-2218.515.13.4117.315.71.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.55,0.57,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 93, POR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.73,191.6%
ORL 93, NJN 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.86,0.95,191.2%
CLE 104, ORL 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.42,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.84,190.8%