NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	7.4 [354]		MVP	Marcus Morris (PHX): +17.4%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	4.5 [498]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -30.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.07	-0.06	10	35%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Phil Pressey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08
Rajon Rondo	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	22	37%	-0.20	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.03	8	61%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	0.00	7	83%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	12	64%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	13	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.02	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	30.6	15.7	26.5	2.4	40.6	142.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.9%

PHX +0.4%

PHX +6.1%

BOS -9.3%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	15.1	93.1	101.0	105.2
season	15.4	14.7		101.2	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		105.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.3	17.3	12.5	14.9
PHX	10.3	12.4	16.1	18.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	75	74	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.26	16	-22	38	14.7	15.3	-0.67	14.5	12.4	2.06
Gerald Wallace	73	72	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-14	22	14.5	15.6	-1.09	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Jared Sullinger	53	55	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-11	16	15.1	14.5	0.59	14.6	13.1	1.49
Brandon Bass	69	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-10	14	15.2	14.2	1.02	13.1	15.9	-2.82
Phil Pressey	14	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	1	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.15	14.6	13.8	0.78
Kelly Olynyk	50	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-6	6	15.0	14.7	0.21	14.7	13.3	1.33
Chris Johnson	34	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.8	0.18	16.8	12.6	4.20
Jeff Green	77	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	5	-16	14.8	15.0	-0.25	12.6	18.2	-5.69
Jerryd Bayless	35	33	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	9	-24	14.9	14.8	0.01	12.8	14.5	-1.77
Kris Humphries	25	23	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.02	-20	14	-34	15.1	14.8	0.36	14.0	13.9	0.08

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	58	60	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-6	18	15.3	12.0	3.23	14.3	15.6	-1.32
PJ Tucker	76	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-6	18	13.7	14.8	-1.16	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Ish Smith	34	35	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-9	24	14.7	13.5	1.21	14.9	14.8	0.05
Marcus Morris	39	39	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	17.8	11.4	6.45	15.6	14.4	1.16
Channing Frye	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	8	-10	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Alex Len	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	0	6	12.6	14.2	-1.59	16.7	14.5	2.21
Goran Dragic	70	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	9	-12	13.1	16.0	-2.87	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Gerald Green	71	74	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	9	-12	13.3	15.5	-2.23	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Leandro Barbosa	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	13.2	14.1	-0.82	15.0	14.8	0.18
Miles Plumlee	43	44	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	16	-26	11.8	15.6	-3.84	15.3	14.5	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.44,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1	92.6%
MIL 110, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	91.9%
WAS 105, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	91.3%