NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	8.4 [204]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +43.2%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	13.2 [45]		LVP	Luol Deng (CLE): -21.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.43	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.32,0.43	0.17	0.27	0.02	16	71%	0.43	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Kyrie Irving	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.05	0.14	0.02	16	56%	0.22	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.08
Tyler Zeller	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.07
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	53%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Bennett	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	5	42%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.08	-0.02	9	17%	-0.18	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	9	46%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.09
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	55%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.04	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	53%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	14	30%	-0.12	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	28.6	16.4	26.6	2.0	38.0	138.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.1%

DET -1.5%

CLE +5.7%

CLE +14.5%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	15.1	98.9	92.7	105.2
season	15.2	15.0		102.8	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	18.4	15.5	14.0	16.1
DET	11.7	12.9	18.8	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	52	53	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.57	9	-5	14	15.6	16.7	-1.10	16.3	11.7	4.59
Tristan Thompson	67	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.61	3	1	2	15.4	17.9	-2.42	14.8	12.8	1.99
Luol Deng	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-2	8	15.4	18.4	-3.05	14.9	12.0	2.94
Kyrie Irving	69	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	0	4	15.6	17.6	-1.95	14.7	12.7	2.01
Earl Clark	25	25	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	6	-8	15.1	16.5	-1.43	12.8	14.7	-1.85
Tyler Zeller	38	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	-1	6	16.5	15.9	0.67	16.4	12.6	3.80
Alonzo Gee	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	18.7	16.0	2.71	12.0	14.4	-2.38
Matthew Dellavedova	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	2	0	17.6	15.6	1.95	12.3	14.9	-2.55
Henry Sims	28	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	4	-4	17.5	15.5	2.01	12.6	14.9	-2.26
CJ Miles	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	4	-4	18.4	15.6	2.72	12.0	14.7	-2.68
Anthony Bennett	30	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	6	-8	16.7	15.8	0.89	12.6	14.9	-2.34
Dion Waiters	42	42	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.20	-5	9	-14	16.7	15.6	1.10	11.9	16.0	-4.14

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	20	20	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.17	0	-4	4	14.3	14.2	0.18	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Jonas Jerebko	28	25	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-6	8	12.1	15.1	-2.97	16.6	16.0	0.59
Rodney Stuckey	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	3	-10	12.6	14.7	-2.10	17.7	15.6	2.02
Greg Monroe	71	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	14.9	12.3	2.61	15.3	18.5	-3.26
Andre Drummond	69	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-8	12	14.6	13.1	1.48	16.9	14.0	2.94
Will Bynum	40	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	12.4	15.5	-3.01	16.3	16.0	0.38
Brandon Jennings	71	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	14.5	13.3	1.20	16.0	16.6	-0.62
Kyle Singler	80	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	-1	-2	14.6	12.4	2.13	16.1	16.3	-0.24
Josh Smith	78	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	3	-10	14.7	12.2	2.44	16.1	16.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.09,0	92.9%
ATL 112, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,0	91.9%
ORL 104, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.41,0	91.2%